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When a risky prospect is valued more than its best possible outcome

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Author Info
Andreas C. Drichoutis () (Department of Agricultural Economics & Rural Development, Agricultural University of Athens)
Rodolfo M. Nayga, Jr. () (Department of Agricultural Economics & Agribusiness, University of Arkansas)
Jayson L. Lusk () (Department of Agricultural Economics, Oklahoma State University)
Panagiotis Lazaridis () (Department of Agricultural Economics & Rural Development, Agricultural University of Athens)

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Abstract

In this paper, we document a violation of normative and descriptive models of decision making under risk. In contrast to uncertainty effects found by Gneezy, List and Wu (2006), some subjects in our experiments valued certain lotteries more than the best possible outcome. We show that the likelihood of observing this effect is positively related to the probability of winning the lottery and negatively related to the value of the maximum outcome. We also demonstrate that this effect can be partially attributed to subjects’ competitiveness and level of comprehension of the lottery mechanism; the competitiveness effects far outweighing comprehension effects.

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File URL: http://aoatools.aua.gr/RePEc/aua/wpaper/files/2009-12_risky_prospects.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Agricultural University of Athens, Department Of Agricultural Economics in its series Working Papers with number 2009-12.

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Length: 14 pages
Date of creation: 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:aua:wpaper:2009-12

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Related research
Keywords: lottery; risk; competitiveness; Vickrey auctions;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
D44 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure and Pricing - - - Auctions

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-8.


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