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Federated Offline Policy Learning with Heterogeneous Observational Data

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  • Aldo Gael Carranza
  • Susan Athey

Abstract

We consider the problem of learning personalized decision policies on observational data from heterogeneous data sources. Moreover, we examine this problem in the federated setting where a central server aims to learn a policy on the data distributed across the heterogeneous sources without exchanging their raw data. We present a federated policy learning algorithm based on aggregation of local policies trained with doubly robust offline policy evaluation and learning strategies. We provide a novel regret analysis for our approach that establishes a finite-sample upper bound on a notion of global regret across a distribution of clients. In addition, for any individual client, we establish a corresponding local regret upper bound characterized by the presence of distribution shift relative to all other clients. We support our theoretical findings with experimental results. Our analysis and experiments provide insights into the value of heterogeneous client participation in federation for policy learning in heterogeneous settings.

Suggested Citation

  • Aldo Gael Carranza & Susan Athey, 2023. "Federated Offline Policy Learning with Heterogeneous Observational Data," Papers 2305.12407, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2305.12407
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey & James Robins, 2018. "Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 21(1), pages 1-68, February.
    2. Toru Kitagawa & Aleksey Tetenov, 2018. "Who Should Be Treated? Empirical Welfare Maximization Methods for Treatment Choice," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(2), pages 591-616, March.
    3. Susan Athey & Stefan Wager, 2021. "Policy Learning With Observational Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(1), pages 133-161, January.
    4. Ruoxuan Xiong & Allison Koenecke & Michael Powell & Zhu Shen & Joshua T. Vogelstein & Susan Athey, 2021. "Federated Causal Inference in Heterogeneous Observational Data," Papers 2107.11732, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
    5. Krishnamurthy, Sanath Kumar & Hadad, Vitor & Athey, Susan, 2021. "Adapting to Misspecification in Contextual Bandits with Offline Regression Oracles," Research Papers 3951, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
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