IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2204.12462.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

GMM is Inadmissible Under Weak Identification

Author

Listed:
  • Isaiah Andrews
  • Anna Mikusheva

Abstract

We consider estimation in moment condition models and show that under any bound on identification strength, asymptotically admissible (i.e. undominated) estimators in a wide class of estimation problems must be uniformly continuous in the sample moment function. GMM estimators are in general discontinuous in the sample moments, and are thus inadmissible. We show, by contrast, that bagged, or bootstrap aggregated, GMM estimators as well as quasi-Bayes posterior means have superior continuity properties, while results in the literature imply that they are equivalent to GMM when identification is strong. In simulations calibrated to published instrumental variables specifications, we find that these alternatives often outperform GMM.

Suggested Citation

  • Isaiah Andrews & Anna Mikusheva, 2022. "GMM is Inadmissible Under Weak Identification," Papers 2204.12462, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2204.12462
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2204.12462
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982. "Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-1054, July.
    2. Guggenberger, Patrik & Smith, Richard J., 2005. "Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimators And Tests Under Partial, Weak, And Strong Identification," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 667-709, August.
    3. Chamberlain, Gary, 1987. "Asymptotic efficiency in estimation with conditional moment restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 305-334, March.
    4. Chernozhukov, Victor & Hong, Han, 2003. "An MCMC approach to classical estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 293-346, August.
    5. Joshua Angrist & Michal Kolesár, 2021. "One Instrument to Rule Them All: The Bias and Coverage of Just-ID IV," NBER Working Papers 29417, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Isaiah Andrews & Anna Mikusheva, 2022. "Optimal Decision Rules for Weak GMM," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(2), pages 715-748, March.
    7. Sophocles Mavroeidis & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & James H. Stock, 2014. "Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(1), pages 124-188, March.
    8. Timothy B. Armstrong, 2016. "Large Market Asymptotics for Differentiated Product Demand Estimators With Economic Models of Supply," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 1961-1980, September.
    9. Douglas Staiger & James H. Stock, 1997. "Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(3), pages 557-586, May.
    10. Andrews, Isaiah, 2019. "On the structure of IV estimands," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 211(1), pages 294-307.
    11. José Luis Montiel Olea & Carolin Pflueger, 2013. "A Robust Test for Weak Instruments," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 358-369, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Whitney K. Newey & Frank Windmeijer, 2005. "GMM with many weak moment conditions," CeMMAP working papers CWP18/05, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    2. Antoine, Bertille & Renault, Eric, 2020. "Testing identification strength," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 271-293.
    3. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 2023. "Reprint of: Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(S), pages 38-55.
    4. Parente, Paulo M.D.C. & Smith, Richard J., 2011. "Gel Methods For Nonsmooth Moment Indicators," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(1), pages 74-113, February.
    5. Szafranek, Karol, 2017. "Flattening of the New Keynesian Phillips curve: Evidence for an emerging, small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 334-348.
    6. Laure Latruffe & Boris E. Bravo-Ureta & Alain Carpentier & Yann Desjeux & Víctor H. Moreira, 2017. "Subsidies and Technical Efficiency in Agriculture: Evidence from European Dairy Farms," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(3), pages 783-799.
    7. Martyn Andrews & Obbey Elamin & Alastair R. Hall & Kostas Kyriakoulis & Matthew Sutton, 2014. "Inference in the Presence of Redundant Moment Conditions and the Impact of Government Health Expenditure on Health Outcomes in England," Economics Discussion Paper Series 1401, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    8. Andrei Zeleneev & Kirill Evdokimov, 2023. "Simple estimation of semiparametric models with measurement errors," CeMMAP working papers 10/23, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    9. Laure Latruffe & Boris E. Bravo-Ureta & Alain Carpentier & Yann Desjeux & Víctor H. Moreira, 2017. "Subsidies and Technical Efficiency in Agriculture: Evidence from European Dairy Farms," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(3), pages 783-799.
    10. Kirill S. Evdokimov & Andrei Zeleneev, 2023. "Simple Estimation of Semiparametric Models with Measurement Errors," Papers 2306.14311, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    11. Bertille Antoine & Otilia Boldea, 2015. "Efficient Inference with Time-Varying Information and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Discussion Papers dp15-04, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University, revised 25 Aug 2016.
    12. Laura Grigolon, 2021. "Blurred boundaries: A flexible approach for segmentation applied to the car market," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(4), pages 1273-1305, November.
    13. Hlouskova, Jaroslava & Sögner, Leopold, 2020. "GMM estimation of affine term structure models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 2-15.
    14. Ai, Chunrong & Chen, Xiaohong, 2012. "The semiparametric efficiency bound for models of sequential moment restrictions containing unknown functions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 442-457.
    15. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    16. Sophocles Mavroeidis & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & James H. Stock, 2014. "Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(1), pages 124-188, March.
    17. Chen, Alice & Lakdawalla, Darius N., 2019. "Healing the poor: The influence of patient socioeconomic status on physician supply responses," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 43-54.
    18. Andreas Tryphonides, 2017. "Conditional moment restrictions and the role of density information in estimated structural models," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2017-016, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    19. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Khalaf, Lynda, 2015. "Factor based identification-robust inference in IV regressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 10390, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Michael Keane & Timothy Neal, 2021. "Robust Inference for the Frisch Labor Supply Elasticity," Discussion Papers 2021-07b, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2204.12462. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.