IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2103.09692.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Radical Complexity

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Abstract

This is an informal and sketchy review of six topical, somewhat unrelated subjects in quantitative finance: rough volatility models; random covariance matrix theory; copulas; crowded trades; high-frequency trading & market stability; and "radical complexity" & scenario based (macro)economics. Some open questions and research directions are briefly discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2021. "Radical Complexity," Papers 2103.09692, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2103.09692
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2103.09692
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rémy Chicheportiche & J-P Bouchaud, 2015. "A nested factor model for non-linear dependencies in stock returns," Post-Print hal-01339978, HAL.
    2. Rémy Chicheportiche & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2011. "Goodness-of-Fit tests with Dependent Observations," Post-Print hal-00621061, HAL.
    3. Stephen J. Hardiman & Nicolas Bercot & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2013. "Critical reflexivity in financial markets: a Hawkes process analysis," Papers 1302.1405, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2013.
    4. P. Blanc & J. Donier & J.-P. Bouchaud, 2017. "Quadratic Hawkes processes for financial prices," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 171-188, February.
    5. Xavier Gabaix & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & H. Eugene Stanley, 2006. "Institutional Investors and Stock Market Volatility," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 121(2), pages 461-504.
    6. Emmanuel Bacry & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Jean-Franc{c}ois Muzy, 2015. "Hawkes processes in finance," Papers 1502.04592, arXiv.org, revised May 2015.
    7. Valerio Volpati & Michael Benzaquen & Zoltán Eisler & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Bence Tóth & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2020. "Zooming In on Equity Factor Crowding," Post-Print hal-02567503, HAL.
    8. Gualdi, Stanislao & Tarzia, Marco & Zamponi, Francesco & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2015. "Tipping points in macroeconomic agent-based models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 29-61.
    9. Gilles Zumbach, 2009. "Time reversal invariance in finance," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 505-515.
    10. Dhruv Sharma & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Stanislao Gualdi & Marco Tarzia & Francesco Zamponi, 2021. "V–, U–, L– or W–shaped economic recovery after Covid-19: Insights from an Agent Based Model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(3), pages 1-22, March.
    11. Stephen Hardiman & Nicolas Bercot & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2013. "Critical reflexivity in financial markets: a Hawkes process analysis," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 86(10), pages 1-9, October.
    12. Federico Guglielmo Morelli & Michael Benzaquen & Marco Tarzia & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2020. "Confidence collapse in a multihousehold, self-reflexive DSGE model," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117(17), pages 9244-9249, April.
    13. F. Bucci & I. Mastromatteo & Z. Eisler & F. Lillo & J.-P. Bouchaud & C.-A. Lehalle, 2020. "Co-impact: crowding effects in institutional trading activity," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(2), pages 193-205, February.
    14. Jim Gatheral & Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Volatility is rough," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 933-949, June.
    15. Reigneron, Pierre-Alain & Allez, Romain & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2011. "Principal regression analysis and the index leverage effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(17), pages 3026-3035.
    16. R. Chicheportiche & J.-P. Bouchaud, 2015. "A nested factor model for non-linear dependencies in stock returns," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(11), pages 1789-1804, November.
    17. Valerio Volpati & Michael Benzaquen & Zoltan Eisler & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Bence Toth & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2020. "Zooming In on Equity Factor Crowding," Papers 2001.04185, arXiv.org.
    18. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Endogenous Liquidity Crises," Post-Print hal-02567495, HAL.
    19. Pierre-Alain Reigneron & Romain Allez & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2010. "Principal Regression Analysis and the index leverage effect," Papers 1011.5810, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2011.
    20. Armine Karami & Raphael Benichou & Michael Benzaquen & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2021. "Conditional Correlations and Principal Regression Analysis for Futures," Post-Print hal-02567501, HAL.
    21. Wyart, Matthieu & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2007. "Self-referential behaviour, overreaction and conventions in financial markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 1-24, May.
    22. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Endogenous Liquidity Crises," Working Papers hal-02567495, HAL.
    23. Jim Gatheral & Paul Jusselin & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2020. "The quadratic rough Heston model and the joint S&P 500/VIX smile calibration problem," Papers 2001.01789, arXiv.org.
    24. repec:dau:papers:123456789/10911 is not listed on IDEAS
    25. Remy Chicheportiche & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2011. "Goodness-of-Fit tests with Dependent Observations," Papers 1106.3016, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2011.
    26. Y. Lempérière & C. Deremble & T. T. Nguyen & P. Seager & M. Potters & J. P. Bouchaud, 2017. "Risk premia: asymmetric tail risks and excess returns," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 1-14, January.
    27. Matthieu Wyart & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Julien Kockelkoren & Marc Potters & Michele Vettorazzo, 2008. "Relation between bid-ask spread, impact and volatility in order-driven markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 41-57.
    28. Joel Bun & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Marc Potters, 2016. "Cleaning large correlation matrices: tools from random matrix theory," Papers 1610.08104, arXiv.org.
    29. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2019. "Endogenous Liquidity Crises," Papers 1912.00359, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    30. Armand Joulin & Augustin Lefevre & Daniel Grunberg & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2008. "Stock price jumps: news and volume play a minor role," Papers 0803.1769, arXiv.org.
    31. Valerio Volpati & Michael Benzaquen & Zoltán Eisler & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Bence Tóth & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2020. "Zooming In on Equity Factor Crowding," Working Papers hal-02567503, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2021. "The Inelastic Market Hypothesis: A Microstructural Interpretation," Papers 2108.00242, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    2. Michele Vodret & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Bence Tóth & Michael Benzaquen, 2023. "Microfounding GARCH models and beyond: a Kyle-inspired model with adaptive agents," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 18(3), pages 599-625, July.
    3. Mehdi Tomas & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2019. "From microscopic price dynamics to multidimensional rough volatility models," Papers 1910.13338, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    4. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Damien Challet, 2016. "Why have asset price properties changed so little in 200 years," Papers 1605.00634, arXiv.org.
    5. Mathieu Rosenbaum & Jianfei Zhang, 2022. "On the universality of the volatility formation process: when machine learning and rough volatility agree," Papers 2206.14114, arXiv.org.
    6. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Non-parametric Estimation of Quadratic Hawkes Processes for Order Book Events," Papers 2005.05730, arXiv.org.
    7. Aditi Dandapani & Paul Jusselin & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2019. "From quadratic Hawkes processes to super-Heston rough volatility models with Zumbach effect," Papers 1907.06151, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    8. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Non-parametric Estimation of Quadratic Hawkes Processes for Order Book Events," Working Papers hal-02998555, HAL.
    9. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2021. "Non-parametric Estimation of Quadratic Hawkes Processes for Order Book Events," Post-Print hal-02998555, HAL.
    10. Paul Jusselin & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2020. "No‐arbitrage implies power‐law market impact and rough volatility," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 1309-1336, October.
    11. Lucio Maria Calcagnile & Giacomo Bormetti & Michele Treccani & Stefano Marmi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2015. "Collective synchronization and high frequency systemic instabilities in financial markets," Papers 1505.00704, arXiv.org.
    12. Omar Euch & Masaaki Fukasawa & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "The microstructural foundations of leverage effect and rough volatility," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 241-280, April.
    13. Eyal Neuman & Moritz Vo{ss}, 2021. "Trading with the Crowd," Papers 2106.09267, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
    14. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Endogenous Liquidity Crises," Post-Print hal-02567495, HAL.
    15. Rudy Morel & Gaspar Rochette & Roberto Leonarduzzi & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & St'ephane Mallat, 2022. "Scale Dependencies and Self-Similar Models with Wavelet Scattering Spectra," Papers 2204.10177, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    16. Didier SORNETTE, 2014. "Physics and Financial Economics (1776-2014): Puzzles, Ising and Agent-Based Models," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 14-25, Swiss Finance Institute.
    17. Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2020. "Modeling aggressive market order placements with Hawkes factor models," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, January.
    18. Pierre Blanc & Jonathan Donier & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2015. "Quadratic Hawkes processes for financial prices," Papers 1509.07710, arXiv.org.
    19. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Endogenous Liquidity Crises," Working Papers hal-02567495, HAL.
    20. D. Sornette, 2014. "Physics and Financial Economics (1776-2014): Puzzles, Ising and Agent-Based models," Papers 1404.0243, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2103.09692. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.