IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1711.02140.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimator for the growth rate of a stable CIR process based on continuous time observations

Author

Listed:
  • Matyas Barczy
  • Mohamed Ben Alaya
  • Ahmed Kebaier
  • Gyula Pap

Abstract

We consider a stable Cox--Ingersoll--Ross process driven by a standard Wiener process and a spectrally positive strictly stable L\'evy process, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate based on continuous time observations. We distinguish three cases: subcritical, critical and supercritical. In all cases we prove strong consistency of the MLE in question, in the subcritical case asymptotic normality, and in the supercritical case asymptotic mixed normality are shown as well. In the critical case the description of the asymptotic behavior of the MLE in question remains open.

Suggested Citation

  • Matyas Barczy & Mohamed Ben Alaya & Ahmed Kebaier & Gyula Pap, 2017. "Asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimator for the growth rate of a stable CIR process based on continuous time observations," Papers 1711.02140, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2019.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1711.02140
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1711.02140
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Damir Filipovic, 2001. "A general characterization of one factor affine term structure models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 389-412.
    2. Carr, Peter & Wu, Liuren, 2004. "Time-changed Levy processes and option pricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1), pages 113-141, January.
    3. Ying Jiao & Chunhua Ma & Simone Scotti, 2017. "Alpha-CIR Model with Branching Processes in Sovereign Interest Rate Modelling," Post-Print hal-01275397, HAL.
    4. Ma, Chunhua & Yang, Xu, 2014. "Small noise fluctuations of the CIR model driven by α-stable noises," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-11.
    5. Yang, Xu, 2017. "Maximum likelihood type estimation for discretely observed CIR model with small α-stable noises," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 18-27.
    6. Fu, Zongfei & Li, Zenghu, 2010. "Stochastic equations of non-negative processes with jumps," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 306-330, March.
    7. Matyas Barczy & Mohamed Ben Alaya & Ahmed Kebaier & Gyula Pap, 2015. "Asymptotic behavior of maximum likelihood estimators for a jump-type Heston model," Papers 1509.08869, arXiv.org, revised May 2018.
    8. Filipović, Damir & Mayerhofer, Eberhard & Schneider, Paul, 2013. "Density approximations for multivariate affine jump-diffusion processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 93-111.
    9. van Zanten, Harry, 2000. "A multivariate central limit theorem for continuous local martingales," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 229-235, November.
    10. Ying Jiao & Chunhua Ma & Simone Scotti, 2017. "Alpha-CIR model with branching processes in sovereign interest rate modeling," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 789-813, July.
    11. Ludger Overbeck, 1998. "Estimation for Continuous Branching Processes," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 25(1), pages 111-126, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Matyas Barczy & Mohamed Ben Alaya & Ahmed Kebaier & Gyula Pap, 2016. "Asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimator for the growth rate for a jump-type CIR process based on continuous time observations," Papers 1609.05865, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2017.
    2. Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto & Guillaume Szulda, 2022. "CBI-time-changed Lévy processes," Working Papers 05/2022, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    3. Fontana, Claudio & Gnoatto, Alessandro & Szulda, Guillaume, 2023. "CBI-time-changed Lévy processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 323-349.
    4. Micha{l} Barski & Rafa{l} {L}ochowski, 2024. "Affine term structure models driven by independent L\'evy processes," Papers 2402.07503, arXiv.org.
    5. Barczy, Mátyás & Ben Alaya, Mohamed & Kebaier, Ahmed & Pap, Gyula, 2018. "Asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimator for the growth rate for a jump-type CIR process based on continuous time observations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 128(4), pages 1135-1164.
    6. Mesias Alfeus, 2019. "Stochastic Modelling of New Phenomena in Financial Markets," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2019.
    7. Ying Jiao & Chunhua Ma & Simone Scotti & Chao Zhou, 2018. "The Alpha-Heston Stochastic Volatility Model," Papers 1812.01914, arXiv.org.
    8. repec:uts:finphd:41 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Micha{l} Barski & Rafa{l} {L}ochowski, 2023. "Classification and calibration of affine models driven by independent L\'evy processes," Papers 2303.08477, arXiv.org.
    10. Riccardo Brignone & Carlo Sgarra, 2020. "Asian options pricing in Hawkes-type jump-diffusion models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 101-119, March.
    11. Pingping Jiang & Bo Li & Yongjin Wang, 2020. "Exit Times, Undershoots and Overshoots for Reflected CIR Process with Two-Sided Jumps," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 693-710, June.
    12. M.E. Mancino & S. Scotti & G. Toscano, 2020. "Is the Variance Swap Rate Affine in the Spot Variance? Evidence from S&P500 Data," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 288-316, July.
    13. Jianhai Bao & Jian Wang, 2023. "Coupling methods and exponential ergodicity for two‐factor affine processes," Mathematische Nachrichten, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 296(5), pages 1716-1736, May.
    14. Frikha, Noufel & Li, Libo, 2021. "Well-posedness and approximation of some one-dimensional Lévy-driven non-linear SDEs," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 76-107.
    15. Li, Libo & Taguchi, Dai, 2019. "On the Euler–Maruyama scheme for spectrally one-sided Lévy driven SDEs with Hölder continuous coefficients," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 15-26.
    16. Aur'elien Alfonsi & Guillaume Szulda, 2024. "On non-negative solutions of stochastic Volterra equations with jumps and non-Lipschitz coefficients," Papers 2402.19203, arXiv.org.
    17. Li, Zenghu & Ma, Chunhua, 2015. "Asymptotic properties of estimators in a stable Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(8), pages 3196-3233.
    18. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Working Papers hal-03827332, HAL.
    19. Long, Hongwei & Ma, Chunhua & Shimizu, Yasutaka, 2017. "Least squares estimators for stochastic differential equations driven by small Lévy noises," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(5), pages 1475-1495.
    20. Giorgia Callegaro & Andrea Mazzoran & Carlo Sgarra, 2019. "A Self-Exciting Modelling Framework for Forward Prices in Power Markets," Papers 1910.13286, arXiv.org.
    21. Steven L. Heston & Alberto G. Rossi, 2017. "A Spanning Series Approach to Options," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 7(1), pages 2-42.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1711.02140. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.