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Private long term care insurance: Theoretical approach and results applied to the Spanish case

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Author Info
Pablo Alonso González () (Departamento de Estadística, Estructura y O.E.I. Universidad de Alcalá.)
Irene Albarrán Lozano (Departamento de Estadística, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid.)

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Abstract

The passing of the Law 39/2006 has given to Spanish insurance companies the chance of offering products that cover the expenses associated to the risk of dependence. However, due to the lack of reliable statistic information about dependent population, it is extremely difficult to evaluate not only the frequency but also the cost. These two items make the pricing process with a big cloud of uncertainty. This paper proposes a methodology for premium calculation taking into account not only the availability of the data but also the current legal framework in Spain. Together to the theoretical approach, premium calculations for two possible versions are included. Finally, it is introduced a simulation model that pretends to evaluate the impact that a portfolio with these kind of contracts would have on the solvency of an insurance company.

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File URL: http://dspace.uah.es/jspui/bitstream/10017/3323/1/Alcamentos0902.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Universidad de Alcalá, Departamento de Estadística, Estructura y O.E.I. in its series Alcamentos with number 0902.

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Length: pages 40
Date of creation: 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:alc:alcamo:0902

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Related research
Keywords: Long term care insurance; Pricing; Multi-state model; Simulation; Solvency.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies
C39 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Other
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computational Techniques

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-4.


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