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Risk Assessment in Economic Feasibility Analysis: The Case of Ethanol Production in Texas


Author Info

  • Richardson, James W.
  • Herbst, Brian K.
  • Outlaw, Joe L.
  • Anderson, David P.
  • Klose, Steven L.
  • Gill, Robert Chope, II


The objective of this study is to demonstrate the benefits of quantifying the economic viability of a proposed agribusiness under risk relative to a feasibility study which ignores risk. To achieve this objective, the economic viability of a 50 MMGPY ethanol facility in Texas is analyzed over a 10-year period in two ways: with no risk and with historical risk for prices and costs.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Texas A&M University, Agricultural and Food Policy Center in its series Research Reports with number 42095.

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Date of creation: Sep 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ags:tamfrr:42095

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Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty;


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Cited by:
  1. Flanders, Archie & Luke-Morgan, Audrey S. & Shumaker, George A. & McKissick, John C., 2007. "Economic Impacts of Ethanol Production in Georgia," 2007 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2007, Mobile, Alabama 34820, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
  2. Fumasi, Roland J. & Richardson, James W. & Outlaw, Joe L., 2008. "The Economics Of Growing And Delivering Cellulosic Feedstocks In The Beaumont, Texas Area," 2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas 6788, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.


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