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A model of vulnerability to food insecurity

Author

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  • Capaldo, Jeronim
  • Karfakis, Panagiotis
  • Knowles, Marco
  • Smulders, Mark

Abstract

Empirical findings show that access to adequate and sufficient food in developing countries is unstable, suggesting that whether a household or individual is food secure at any point in time is best thought of in a dynamic sense. The more widely used food security analysis methods mainly consider current access to food, failing to provide policy makers with forward-looking information. While drawing on household survey data, the vulnerability analysis model presented here provides estimates of the probability that a given household will lose or gain access to sufficient food in the near future. We propose a model of vulnerability analysis that can improve policy design and targeting. We test the model with data from a survey of Nicaraguan households.

Suggested Citation

  • Capaldo, Jeronim & Karfakis, Panagiotis & Knowles, Marco & Smulders, Mark, 2010. "A model of vulnerability to food insecurity," ESA Working Papers 289020, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:faoaes:289020
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.289020
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mesfin Welderufael, 2015. "Analysis of Households Vulnerability and Food Insecurity in Amhara Regional State of Ethiopia: using Value at Risk Analysis," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 23(2), December.
    2. Mr. Olumuyiwa S Adedeji & Mrs. Jana Bricco & Ms. Vera V Kehayova, 2016. "Natural Disasters and Food Crises in Low-Income Countries: Macroeconomic Dimensions," IMF Working Papers 2016/065, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Muhammad Masood Azeem & Amin W. Mugera & Steven Schilizzi & Kadambot H. M. Siddique, 2017. "An Assessment of Vulnerability to Poverty in Punjab, Pakistan: Subjective Choices of Poverty Indicators," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 117-152, October.
    4. Nara, Baslyd B. & Lengoiboni, Monica & Zevenbergen, J.A., 2021. "Testing a fit-for-purpose (FFP) model for strengthening customary land rights and tenure to improve household food security in Northwest Ghana," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    5. Azeem, Muhammad Masood & Mugera, Amin W. & Schilizzi, Steven, 2016. "Living on the edge: Household vulnerability to food-insecurity in the Punjab, Pakistan," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 1-13.
    6. Sayed Alim Samim & Zhiquan Hu & Sebastian Stepien & Sayed Younus Amini & Ramin Rayee & Kunyu Niu & George Mgendi, 2021. "Food Insecurity and Related Factors among Farming Families in Takhar Region, Afghanistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-17, September.
    7. Ibok, Otu W. & Osbahr, Henny & Srinivasan, Chittur, 2019. "Advancing a new index for measuring household vulnerability to food insecurity," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 10-20.
    8. Mousumi Das, 2021. "Vulnerability to Food Insecurity: A Decomposition Exercise for Rural India using the Expected Utility Approach," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 167-199, July.
    9. Sandile Mthethwa & Edilegnaw Wale, 2021. "Household Vulnerability to Food Insecurity in Rural South Africa: Evidence from a Nationally Representative Survey Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-17, February.
    10. Paltasingh, K.R. & Goyari, P., 2015. "Climatic Risks and Household Vulnerability Assessment: A Case of Paddy Growers in Odisha," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 28(Conferenc).
    11. Sriroop Chaudhuri & Mimi Roy & Louis M. McDonald & Yves Emendack, 2021. "Coping Behaviours and the concept of Time Poverty: a review of perceived social and health outcomes of food insecurity on women and children," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 13(4), pages 1049-1068, August.
    12. Million Sileshi & Reuben Kadigi & Khamaldin Mutabazi & Stefan Sieber, 2019. "Analysis of households’ vulnerability to food insecurity and its influencing factors in East Hararghe, Ethiopia," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, December.
    13. Kwaku Owusu Twum & Kwabena Asiama & John Ayer & Cosmas Yaw Asante, 2020. "Gender, Land and Food Access in Ghana’s Suburban Cities: A Case of the Adenta Municipality," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-23, October.

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