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Ökonomische Bewertung der in der Regierungsklausur am 16. Juni 2020 vorgestellten Maßnahmen

Author

Listed:
  • Josef Baumgartner
  • Jürgen Bierbaumer-Polly
  • Marian Fink
  • Klaus S. Friesenbichler
  • Serguei Kaniovski
  • Michael Klien
  • Simon Loretz
  • Hans Pitlik
  • Silvia Rocha-Akis
  • Franz Sinabell
  • Alexander Schnabl
  • Sarah Lappöhn
  • Liliana Mateeva
  • Kerstin Plank
  • Lorenz Wimmer

    (Institute for Advanced Studies)

  • Johannes Berger
  • Wolfgang Schwarzbauer
  • Ludwig Strohner

    (EcoAustria – Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung)

Abstract

Als Reaktion auf die ökonomischen Verwerfungen durch die COVID-19-Pandemie hat die Bundesregierung in ihrer Regierungsklausur Mitte Juni 2020 zusätzlich zu bereits zuvor beschlossenen Hilfsmaßnahmen weitere Unterstützungen für die kommenden Jahre vorgeschlagen. Die in Zusammenarbeit von WIFO, IHS und EcoAustria erstellte Studie untersucht wesentliche Teile des dabei vorgestellten Paketes von Rettungs-, Stützungs- und Konjunkturbelebungsmaßnahmen, mit einem Budgetvolumen von 10,3 Mrd. €. Die ermittelten Wertschöpfungseffekte betragen 2020 +0,7% und 2021 +0,8%, die Arbeitslosenquote wird um 0,4 (2020) bzw. 0,7 Prozentpunkte (2021) gesenkt. Aufgrund der besonderen Umstände sind bestehende Verhaltensunsicherheiten in der Analyse nur schwer zu erfassen. Ohne diese und zahlreiche weitere Maßnahmen hätten sich aber zweifellos zahlreiche Unternehmensinsolvenzen und ein noch stärkerer Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit eingestellt. Die genannten Wertschöpfungseffekte wären damit ohne die Maßnahmen nicht bei Null, sondern jedenfalls stark negativ.

Suggested Citation

  • Josef Baumgartner & Jürgen Bierbaumer-Polly & Marian Fink & Klaus S. Friesenbichler & Serguei Kaniovski & Michael Klien & Simon Loretz & Hans Pitlik & Silvia Rocha-Akis & Franz Sinabell & Alexander Sc, 2020. "Ökonomische Bewertung der in der Regierungsklausur am 16. Juni 2020 vorgestellten Maßnahmen," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66415, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:66415
    Note: With English abstract.
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Badelt, 2021. "Austria's Economic Policy in the Time of COVID-19 and Beyond. An Assessment at the Turn of the Year 2020-21," WIFO Reports on Austria, WIFO, issue 1, January.
    2. Doris Prammer, 2021. "Unprecedented fiscal (re)actions to ease the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in Austria," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/20-Q1/, pages 153-173.

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