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Projections of Cancer Risks Attributable to Future Exposure to Asbestos

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  • Josephine A. Mauskopf

Abstract

To assess the maximum possible impact of further government regulation of asbestos exposure, projections were made of the use of asbestos in nine product categories for the years 1985–2000. A life table risk assessment model was then developed to estimate the excess cases of cancer and lost person‐years of life likely to occur among those occupationally and nonoccupationally exposed to the nine asbestos product categories manufactured in 1985–2000. These estimates were made under the assumption that government regulation remains at its 1985 level. Use of asbestos in the nine product categories was predicted to decline in all cases except for friction products. The risk assessment results show that, although the cancer risks from future exposure to asbestos are significantly less than those from past exposures, in the absence of more stringent regulations, a health risk remains.

Suggested Citation

  • Josephine A. Mauskopf, 1987. "Projections of Cancer Risks Attributable to Future Exposure to Asbestos," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(4), pages 477-486, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:7:y:1987:i:4:p:477-486
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1987.tb00484.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cooper, R. & Cohen, R. & Amiry, A., 1983. "Is the period of rapidly declining adult mortality in the United States coming to and end?," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 73(9), pages 1091-1093.
    2. Michael D. Hogan & David G. Hoel, 1981. "Estimated Cancer Risk Associated with Occupational Asbestos Exposure," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(1), pages 67-76, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Van Houtven, George & Cropper, Maureen L., 1996. "When is a Life Too Costly to Save? The Evidence from U.S. Environmental Regulations," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 348-368, May.
    2. Zhihong Cai & Manabu Kuroki, 2005. "Variance Estimators for Three “Probabilities of Causation”," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(6), pages 1611-1620, December.
    3. Cropper, Maureen L & Oates, Wallace E, 1992. "Environmental Economics: A Survey," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 30(2), pages 675-740, June.

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