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Large trades and intraday futures price behavior

Author

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  • Alex Frino
  • Johan Bjursell
  • George H. K. Wang
  • Andrew Lepone

Abstract

This study examines the effects of large trades executed by outside customer on the prices of futures contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. We find that, on average, large buyer‐initiated trades have a larger permanent price impact (information effect) than large seller‐initiated trades, whereas the opposite is found for the temporary price impact (liquidity effects) of large trades. These results are consistent with previous findings for block and institutional trades in equity markets. However, we also find that the information effects of large sells are larger than large buys in bearish markets, whereas the results are the reverse in bullish markets. The liquidity price effects of buys are larger than the liquidity price effects of sells in bearish markets whereas the reverse results hold in bullish markets. Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that the current economic condition is a key determinant of asymmetric price effects between large buys and large sells. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 28:1147–1181, 2008

Suggested Citation

  • Alex Frino & Johan Bjursell & George H. K. Wang & Andrew Lepone, 2008. "Large trades and intraday futures price behavior," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(12), pages 1147-1181, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:28:y:2008:i:12:p:1147-1181
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jullavut Kittiakaraskun & Yiuman Tse & George H.K. Wang, 2011. "The Impact of Trading Activity by Trader Types on Asymmetric Volatility in Nasdaq-100 Index Futures," Working Papers 0021, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.
    2. Thu Phuong Pham, 2015. "Broker ID transparency and price impact of trades: evidence from the Korean Exchange," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(1), pages 117-131, February.
    3. Agarwalla, Sobhesh Kumar & Pandey, Ajay, 2010. "Price Impact of Block Trades and Price Behavior Surrounding Block Trades in Indian Capital Market," IIMA Working Papers WP2010-04-02, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    4. Stylianos Perrakis & Ali Boloorforoosh, 2018. "Catastrophe futures and reinsurance contracts: An incomplete markets approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 104-128, January.
    5. Chou, Robin K. & Wang, George H.K. & Wang, Yun-Yi & Bjursell, Johan, 2011. "The impacts of large trades by trader types on intraday futures prices: Evidence from the Taiwan Futures Exchange," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 41-70, January.
    6. Lepone, Andrew & Wong, Jin Boon, 2017. "Pseudo market-makers, market quality and the minimum tick size," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 88-100.
    7. Brennan, Michael J. & Chordia, Tarun & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar & Tong, Qing, 2012. "Sell-order liquidity and the cross-section of expected stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(3), pages 523-541.
    8. Murphy Jun Jie Lee, 2013. "The Microstructure of Trading Processes on the Singapore Exchange," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2-2013.
    9. Zhang, Sijia & Gregoriou, Andros, 2019. "The price behavior around initial loan announcements: Evidence from zero-leverage firms in the UK," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 191-200.
    10. Ajay Pandey & Sobhesh Kumar Agarwalla, 2010. "Price Impact of Block Trades and Price Behavior Surrounding Block Trades in Indian Capital Market," Working Papers id:2618, eSocialSciences.
    11. Murphy Jun Jie Lee, 2013. "The Microstructure of Trading Processes on the Singapore Exchange," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 4, July-Dece.
    12. Alex Frino, 2021. "Off‐market block trades: New evidence on transparency and information efficiency," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 478-492, April.

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