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Forecasting air pollution PM2.5 in Beijing using weather data and multiple kernel learning

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  • Xiang Xu

Abstract

PM2.5 mass concentration prediction is an important research issue because of the increasing impact of air pollution on the urban environment. In this paper, a PM2.5 forecasting framework incorporating meteorological factors based on multiple kernel learning (MKL) is proposed to forecast the near future PM2.5. In addition, we develop a novel two‐step algorithm for solving the primal MKL problem. Compared with most existing MKL 2‐step algorithms, the proposed algorithm does not require the optimal step size for updating kernel combination coefficients by linear search. To demonstrate the performance of the proposed forecasting framework, its performance is compared to single kernel‐based support vector regression (SVR). Data sets of an inland city Beijing acquired from UCI are used to train and validate both of two methods. Experiments show that our proposed method outperforms the SVR.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiang Xu, 2020. "Forecasting air pollution PM2.5 in Beijing using weather data and multiple kernel learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 117-125, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jforec:v:39:y:2020:i:2:p:117-125
    DOI: 10.1002/for.2599
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sujit K. Sahu & Kanti V. Mardia, 2005. "A Bayesian kriged Kalman model for short‐term forecasting of air pollution levels," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 54(1), pages 223-244, January.
    2. Moisan, Stella & Herrera, Rodrigo & Clements, Adam, 2018. "A dynamic multiple equation approach for forecasting PM2.5 pollution in Santiago, Chile," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 566-581.
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    2. Zhongfei Li & Kai Gan & Shaolong Sun & Shouyang Wang, 2023. "A new PM2.5 concentration forecasting system based on AdaBoost‐ensemble system with deep learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 154-175, January.
    3. Pei Du & Jianzhou Wang & Wendong Yang & Tong Niu, 2022. "A novel hybrid fine particulate matter (PM2.5) forecasting and its further application system: Case studies in China," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 64-85, January.
    4. Víctor Leiva & Helton Saulo & Rubens Souza & Robert G. Aykroyd & Roberto Vila, 2021. "A new BISARMA time series model for forecasting mortality using weather and particulate matter data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 346-364, March.
    5. Ying Wang & Jianzhou Wang & Hongmin Li & Hufang Yang & Zhiwu Li, 2022. "Multi‐step air quality index forecasting via data preprocessing, sequence reconstruction, and improved multi‐objective optimization algorithm," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1483-1511, November.

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