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Non‐parametric inference on the number of equilibria

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  • Maximilian Kasy

Abstract

This paper proposes an estimator and develops an inference procedure for the number of roots of functions that are non‐parametrically identified by conditional moment restrictions. It is shown that a smoothed plug‐in estimator of the number of roots is superconsistent under i.i.d. asymptotics, but asymptotically normal under non‐standard asymptotics. The smoothed estimator is furthermore asymptotically efficient relative to a simple plug‐in estimator. The procedure proposed is used to construct confidence sets for the number of equilibria of static games of incomplete information and of stochastic difference equations. In an application to panel data on neighbourhood composition in the United States, no evidence of multiple equilibria is found.

Suggested Citation

  • Maximilian Kasy, 2015. "Non‐parametric inference on the number of equilibria," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 18(1), pages 1-39, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:emjrnl:v:18:y:2015:i:1:p:1-39
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/ectj.12043
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    Cited by:

    1. Kasy, Maximilian, 2015. "Identification in a model of sorting with social externalities and the causes of urban segregation," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 16-33.
    2. Áureo de Paula, 2013. "Econometric Analysis of Games with Multiple Equilibria," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 5(1), pages 107-131, May.

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