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Towards a target employment rate within age and gender groups

Author

Listed:
  • Jaworski Stanisław

    (Department of Econometrics and Statistics, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Warsaw, ; Poland)

  • Zielińska-Kolasińska Zofia

    (Department of Mathematics, Siedlce University of Natural Sciences and Humanities, Warsaw, ; Poland)

Abstract

Quarterly employment rates in European countries are analysed in terms of the likelihood of achieving a specific employment rate within age and gender groups in a five-year horizon. The German employment rate serves as a benchmark for this research. The likelihood is estimated by a Monte-Carlo simulation based on the class of exponential smoothing models. The research presents a pessimistic prognosis of employment rates in European countries with respect to young and partly to older workers.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaworski Stanisław & Zielińska-Kolasińska Zofia, 2021. "Towards a target employment rate within age and gender groups," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 22(4), pages 213-225, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:stintr:v:22:y:2021:i:4:p:213-225:n:13
    DOI: 10.21307/stattrans-2021-046
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hyndman, Rob J. & Khandakar, Yeasmin, 2008. "Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The forecast Package for R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 27(i03).
    2. Hartung, Benjamin & Jung, Philip & Kuhn, Moritz, 2018. "What Hides behind the German Labor Market Miracle? Unemployment Insurance Reforms and Labor Market Dynamics," IZA Discussion Papers 12001, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Guillaume Cléaud & Francisco de Castro Fernández & Jorge Durán Laguna & Lucia Granelli & Martin Hallet & Anne Jaubertie & Carlos Maravall Rodriguez & Diana Ognyanova & Balazs Palvolgyi & Tsvetan Tsali, 2019. "Cruising at Different Speeds: Similarities and Divergences between the German and the French Economies," European Economy - Discussion Papers 103, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
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