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Short-Term Forecast of Ukrainian Economy Including Shadow Sector Using Causal Simulation Model

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  • Vasylenko Yuri V.

    (Institute of Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine)

Abstract

A new causal simulation model of economic development was created, which comprehensively in detail and fully reflects various types of legal and shadow economic activities and their interrelations.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasylenko Yuri V., 2020. "Short-Term Forecast of Ukrainian Economy Including Shadow Sector Using Causal Simulation Model," Ekonomika (Economics), Sciendo, vol. 99(1), pages 131-145, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:ekonom:v:99:y:2020:i:1:p:131-145:n:8
    DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2020.1.8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David Giles, 1997. "Causality between the measured and underground economies in New Zealand," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 63-67.
    2. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    3. Gebauer, Stefan & Mazelis, Falk, 2023. "Macroprudential regulation and leakage to the shadow banking sector," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    4. Frenkel, Jacob A. & Mussa, Michael L., 1985. "Asset markets, exchange rates and the balance of payments," Handbook of International Economics, in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 14, pages 679-747, Elsevier.
    5. Loayza, Norman V., 1996. "The economics of the informal sector: a simple model and some empirical evidence from Latin America," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 129-162, December.
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