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An analysis of causal relationship between economic growth and financial development for Turkey: A MODWT—Granger causality test

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  • Abar Hayri

    (Department of Economics, Faculty of Business and Economics, Gaziantep University, 27310 Gaziantep, Turkey)

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the relationship between financial development and economic growth in different time horizons for Turkey. In this study an ensemble of wavelet analysis and Granger causality test were used. PSC was used to represent financial development and GDP was used to represent growth. The annual data used are for the period 1961–2018. The result obtained for a one year period shows that the demand-following hypothesis is valid for Turkey. Financial development is the Granger cause of growth and positively affects growth. The financial sector should be supported for growth in the short term. While there is no causal relationship for the 2–4 year period, bidirectional causality relationships were determined for the periods of 4–8 years, 8–16 years and 16–32 years. Because variables are a Granger cause of each other and affect each other in a positive direction supporting the financial sector is a preferable policy when the purpose is to achieve growth in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Abar Hayri, 2022. "An analysis of causal relationship between economic growth and financial development for Turkey: A MODWT—Granger causality test," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 8(3), pages 59-81, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:ecobur:v:8:y:2022:i:3:p:59-81:n:2
    DOI: 10.18559/ebr.2022.3.4
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial development; economic growth; Granger causality; wavelet transform;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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