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Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate

Author

Listed:
  • Mohammed Anono ZUBAIR
  • Samuel Olorunfemi ADAMS
  • Kosarahchi Sarah ANIAGOLU

    (University of Abuja
    University of Abuja
    University of Abuja)

Abstract

The Nigerian Government both previous and present has introduced several policies and programmes to reduce or proffer remedial measures to militate against the negative impact of high inflationary levels on the Nigerian economy. All these measures have not led to a productive result as the inflation rate has continued to sour higher over the years. This paper aimed at examining the economic influence of the determinant factors that influence inflationary trends that are multi-dimensional and dynamic which continue to defy solutions. The data used for this work was sourced from the National Bureau of Statistics and Central Bank of Nigeria, from 1983 to 2020. The ordinary least square approach was used to analyze the data and the result shows that consumer's price index, interest rate and total export has a positive effect on Nigeria inflation, but only the Consumer's Price Index (CPI) have a statistically significant effect on the Nigeria inflation at 99% confidence interval. Result also shows that the exchange rate, foreign reserve, money supply, real GDP, real income and total imports has a negative effect though not statistically significant on the Nigeria inflation rate. The result of the Granger causality test shows exchange rate and total imports to Granger cause Nigeria inflation. It is recommended that Government should improve locally manufacture products to meet international demands to reduce total imports.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammed Anono ZUBAIR & Samuel Olorunfemi ADAMS & Kosarahchi Sarah ANIAGOLU, 2021. "Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 5(2), pages 23-41.
    • Handle: RePEc:trp:01jefa:jefa0048
    DOI: 10.1991/jefa.v5i2.a44
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ari Aisen & Francisco Veiga, 2008. "Political instability and inflation volatility," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 135(3), pages 207-223, June.
    2. Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016. "Modelling Inflation Volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(5), pages 805-820, August.
    3. Odusanya, Ibrahim Abidemi & Atanda, Akinwande AbdulMaliq, 2010. "Analysis of inflation and its determinants in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 35837, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. ODUSOLA, Ayodele & AKINLO, Anthony, 2001. "Output, Inflation, And Exchange Rate In Developing Countries: An Application To Nigeria," UNDP Africa Economists Working Papers 307343, United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Fiscal policy; Granger causality test; Gross domestic product; Inflationary rate; Interest rate.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General

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