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Identification of Interest Rates and International Capital Flows

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Author Info
Haynes, Stephen E
Abstract

The conventional paradigm that capital movements respond to differences in interest rates between countries and simultaneously reduce interest-rate differentials has been difficult to demonstrate empirically. This paper argues that such a demonstrati on may be feasible if a simultaneous model is specified that describe s the dynamics of adjustment and if a data interval is chosen that re veals the dynamics. Examination of U.S. and Canadian data from the 19 60s supports the argument-with monthly observations, that paradigm is strongly supported; with quarterly observations, capital flows and i nterest rates are not significantly related. Copyright 1988 by MIT Press.

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Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 70 (1988)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 103-11
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:70:y:1988:i:1:p:103-11

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