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Returns after personal tax on UK equity and gilts, 1919-1998

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  • Seth Armitage

Abstract

This paper investigates whether personal tax could help explain the size of the historic equity premium in the UK measured before personal tax. If there has been a higher tax burden on equity, some of the premium could be viewed as compensation for tax. It is estimated here that personal tax reduces the arithmetic mean nominal return on equity from 13.3% to 11.1% pa during the period 1919-1998, and the mean return on gilts from 7.1% to 5.6% pa. Thus, personal tax accounts for a slightly higher proportion of the before-tax return on gilts than on equity, implying that the equity premium is not a compensation for a higher tax burden on equity.

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  • Seth Armitage, 2004. "Returns after personal tax on UK equity and gilts, 1919-1998," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 23-43.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:10:y:2004:i:1:p:23-43
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847032000143404
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Feldstein, Martin & Dicks-Mireaux, Louis & Poterba, James, 1983. "The effective tax rate and the pretax rate of return," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 129-158, July.
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    3. M. C. Freeman & I. R. Davidson, 1999. "Estimating the equity premium," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 236-246.
    4. Morgan, Gareth & Thomas, Stephen, 1998. "Taxes, dividend yields and returns in the UK equity market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 405-423, May.
    5. Orhnial, A J H & Foldes, L P, 1975. "Estimates of Marginal Tax Rates for Dividends and Bond Interest in the United Kingdom 1919-1970," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 42(165), pages 79-91, February.
    6. Dammon, Robert M & Green, Richard C, 1987. "Tax Arbitrage and the Existence of Equilibrium Prices for Financial Assets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(5), pages 1143-1166, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Armitage, Seth & Chakravarty, Shanti P. & Hodgkinson, Lynn & Wells, Jo, 2012. "Are there arbitrage gaps in the UK gilt strips market?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 3080-3090.
    2. Fogarty, James Joseph, 2007. "Rethinking Wine Investment in the UK and Australia," Working Papers 37312, American Association of Wine Economists.

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