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Impact of the Syrian conflict on irrigated agriculture in the Orontes Basin

Author

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  • Hadi H. Jaafar
  • Rami Zurayk
  • Caroline King
  • Farah Ahmad
  • Rami Al-Outa

Abstract

The impact of conflict on irrigated agriculture and consequently summer crop production within conflict-affected agricultural lands was observed in the Orontes Basin. Water and energy use were reconfigured through a transition from rainfed to irrigated agricultural production over the past 20 years, but have been disrupted as the Syrian war has unfolded since 2011. Remotely sensed vegetation indices were used to determine irrigated summer crop yields during the year 2013. Findings suggest that irrigated agricultural production dropped between 15% and 30% in the Syrian portion of the basin in 2000-2013, with hotspots identifiable in Idleb, Homs, Hama, Daraa and Aleppo. The developed approach demonstrated effectiveness in quantifying and geolocating hotspots where conflicts have the strongest impact on agricultural water use, agricultural production, and eventually support relief and regional agricultural reconstruction in this and other conflict regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Hadi H. Jaafar & Rami Zurayk & Caroline King & Farah Ahmad & Rami Al-Outa, 2015. "Impact of the Syrian conflict on irrigated agriculture in the Orontes Basin," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 436-449, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:cijwxx:v:31:y:2015:i:3:p:436-449
    DOI: 10.1080/07900627.2015.1023892
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    Cited by:

    1. Godwin Okafor & Sydney Chikalipah, 2021. "Estimating the effect of terrorism on agricultural production in Nigeria," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(4), pages 703-714, December.
    2. Rui Zhao & Hualing He & Ning Zhang, 2015. "Regional Water Footprint Assessment: A Case Study of Leshan City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(12), pages 1-16, December.
    3. Jaafar, Hadi H. & Woertz, Eckart, 2016. "Agriculture as a funding source of ISIS: A GIS and remote sensing analysis," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 14-25.
    4. Mohamed Ali Mohamed & Julian Anders & Christoph Schneider, 2020. "Monitoring of Changes in Land Use/Land Cover in Syria from 2010 to 2018 Using Multitemporal Landsat Imagery and GIS," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-31, July.
    5. Safwan A. Mohammed & Ali Alkerdi & János Nagy & Endre Harsányi, 2020. "Syrian crisis repercussions on the agricultural sector: Case study of wheat, cotton and olives," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(3), pages 519-537, June.
    6. Dorijan Radočaj & Ante Šiljeg & Rajko Marinović & Mladen Jurišić, 2023. "State of Major Vegetation Indices in Precision Agriculture Studies Indexed in Web of Science: A Review," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-16, March.
    7. Rachel A. Bahn & Abed Al Kareem Yehya & Rami Zurayk, 2021. "Digitalization for Sustainable Agri-Food Systems: Potential, Status, and Risks for the MENA Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-24, March.
    8. Appau, Samuelson & Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Smyth, Russell & Trinh, Trong-Anh, 2021. "The long-term impact of the Vietnam War on agricultural productivity," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).

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