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Adapting Multireservoir Operation to Shifting Patterns of Water Supply and Demand

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  • E. Vonk
  • Y. Xu
  • M. Booij
  • X. Zhang
  • D. M. Augustijn

Abstract

The aim of this study is to determine whether dam reoperation (the adjustment of reservoir operating rules) is an effective adaptation strategy to reduce the potential impacts of climate change and regional socio-economic developments. The Xinanjiang-Fuchunjiang reservoir cascade, located in Hangzhou Region (China), is selected as case study. We use a scenario-based approach to explore the effects of various likely degrees of water stress for the future period between 2011 and 2040, which are compared to the control period from 1971 to 2000. The scenario impacts are simulated with the WEAP water allocation model, which is interlinked with the NSGA-II metaheuristic algorithm in order to derive optimal operating rules adapted to each scenario. Reservoir performance is measured with the Shortage Index (SI) and Mean Annual Energy Production (MAEP). For the investigated scenarios, adapted operating rules on average reduce the SI with 84 % and increase the MAEP with 6.4 % (compared to the projected future performance of conventional operation). Based on the optimization results, we conclude that for the studied case dam reoperation is an effective adaptation strategy to reduce the impact of changing patterns of water supply and demand, even though it is insufficient to completely restore system performance to that of the control period. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • E. Vonk & Y. Xu & M. Booij & X. Zhang & D. M. Augustijn, 2014. "Adapting Multireservoir Operation to Shifting Patterns of Water Supply and Demand," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(3), pages 625-643, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:28:y:2014:i:3:p:625-643
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-013-0499-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Frederick Chou & Hao-Chih Lee & William Yeh, 2013. "Effectiveness and Efficiency of Scheduling Regional Water Resources Projects," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(3), pages 665-693, February.
    2. Pan Liu & Shenglian Guo & Xiaowei Xu & Jionghong Chen, 2011. "Derivation of Aggregation-Based Joint Operating Rule Curves for Cascade Hydropower Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3177-3200, October.
    3. Leila Ostadrahimi & Miguel Mariño & Abbas Afshar, 2012. "Multi-reservoir Operation Rules: Multi-swarm PSO-based Optimization Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(2), pages 407-427, January.
    4. Marie Minville & François Brissette & Stéphane Krau & Robert Leconte, 2009. "Adaptation to Climate Change in the Management of a Canadian Water-Resources System Exploited for Hydropower," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(14), pages 2965-2986, November.
    5. Xun-Gui Li & Xia Wei, 2008. "An Improved Genetic Algorithm-Simulated Annealing Hybrid Algorithm for the Optimization of Multiple Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(8), pages 1031-1049, August.
    6. Deepti Rani & Maria Moreira, 2010. "Simulation–Optimization Modeling: A Survey and Potential Application in Reservoir Systems Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(6), pages 1107-1138, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fang Wan & Wenlin Yuan & Jin Zhou, 2017. "Derivation of Tri-level Programming Model for Multi-Reservoir Optimal Operation in Inter-Basin Transfer-Diversion-Supply Project," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 479-494, January.
    2. B. Rousta & S. Araghinejad, 2015. "Development of a Multi Criteria Decision Making Tool for a Water Resources Decision Support System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5713-5727, December.
    3. Iman Ahmadianfar & Reza Zamani, 2020. "Assessment of the hedging policy on reservoir operation for future drought conditions under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 159(2), pages 253-268, March.
    4. Macdonald Tatenda Muronda & Safar Marofi & Hamed Nozari & Omid Babamiri, 2021. "Uncertainty Analysis of Reservoir Operation Based on Stochastic Optimization Approach Using the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(10), pages 3179-3201, August.
    5. Uriel Huaringa Alvarez & Mélanie Trudel & Robert Leconte, 2014. "Impacts and Adaptation to Climate Change Using a Reservoir Management Tool to a Northern Watershed: Application to Lièvre River Watershed, Quebec, Canada," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(11), pages 3667-3680, September.

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