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Artificial Neural Network Modeling for Groundwater Level Forecasting in a River Island of Eastern India

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  • Sheelabhadra Mohanty
  • Madan Jha
  • Ashwani Kumar
  • K. Sudheer

Abstract

Forecasting of groundwater levels is very useful for planning integrated management of groundwater and surface water resources in a basin. In the present study, artificial neural network models have been developed for groundwater level forecasting in a river island of tropical humid region, eastern India. ANN modeling was carried out to predict groundwater levels 1 week ahead at 18 sites over the study area. The inputs to the ANN models consisted of weekly rainfall, pan evaporation, river stage, water level in the drain, pumping rate and groundwater level in the previous week, which led to 40 input nodes and 18 output nodes. Three different ANN training algorithms, viz., gradient descent with momentum and adaptive learning rate backpropagation (GDX) algorithm, Levenberg–Marquardt (LM) algorithm and Bayesian regularization (BR) algorithm were employed and their performance was evaluated. As the neural network became very large with 40 input nodes and 18 output nodes, the LM and BR algorithms took too much time to complete a single iteration. Consequently, the study area was divided into three clusters and the performance evaluation of the three ANN training algorithms was done separately for all the clusters. The performance of all the three ANN training algorithms in predicting groundwater levels over the study area was found to be almost equally good. However, the performance of the BR algorithm was found slightly superior to that of the GDX and LM algorithms. The ANN model trained with BR algorithm was further used for predicting groundwater levels 2, 3 and 4 weeks ahead in the tubewells of one cluster using the same inputs. It was found that though the accuracy of predicted groundwater levels generally decreases with an increase in the lead time, the predicted groundwater levels are reasonable for the larger lead times as well. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

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  • Sheelabhadra Mohanty & Madan Jha & Ashwani Kumar & K. Sudheer, 2010. "Artificial Neural Network Modeling for Groundwater Level Forecasting in a River Island of Eastern India," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(9), pages 1845-1865, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:24:y:2010:i:9:p:1845-1865
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-009-9527-x
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    1. Purna Nayak & Y. Rao & K. Sudheer, 2006. "Groundwater Level Forecasting in a Shallow Aquifer Using Artificial Neural Network Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(1), pages 77-90, February.
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    1. Afshin Khoshand, 2021. "Application of artificial intelligence in groundwater ecosystem protection: a case study of Semnan/Sorkheh plain, Iran," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(11), pages 16617-16631, November.
    2. Xuesong Zhang & Kaiguang Zhao, 2012. "Bayesian Neural Networks for Uncertainty Analysis of Hydrologic Modeling: A Comparison of Two Schemes," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(8), pages 2365-2382, June.
    3. Seyed Ahmad Soleymani & Shidrokh Goudarzi & Mohammad Hossein Anisi & Wan Haslina Hassan & Mohd Yamani Idna Idris & Shahaboddin Shamshirband & Noorzaily Mohamed Noor & Ismail Ahmedy, 2016. "A Novel Method to Water Level Prediction using RBF and FFA," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(9), pages 3265-3283, July.
    4. Sunayana & Komal Kalawapudi & Ojaswikrishna Dube & Renuka Sharma, 2020. "Use of neural networks and spatial interpolation to predict groundwater quality," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 2801-2816, April.
    5. Kusum Pandey & Shiv Kumar & Anurag Malik & Alban Kuriqi, 2020. "Artificial Neural Network Optimized with a Genetic Algorithm for Seasonal Groundwater Table Depth Prediction in Uttar Pradesh, India," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-24, October.
    6. Kostas Moustris & Ioanna Larissi & Panagiotis Nastos & Athanasios Paliatsos, 2011. "Precipitation Forecast Using Artificial Neural Networks in Specific Regions of Greece," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(8), pages 1979-1993, June.
    7. Raymond Kim & Daniel Loucks & Jery Stedinger, 2012. "Artificial Neural Network Models of Watershed Nutrient Loading," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(10), pages 2781-2797, August.
    8. Akram Seifi & Mohammad Ehteram & Vijay P. Singh & Amir Mosavi, 2020. "Modeling and Uncertainty Analysis of Groundwater Level Using Six Evolutionary Optimization Algorithms Hybridized with ANFIS, SVM, and ANN," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-42, May.
    9. Hairong Zhang & Jianzhong Zhou & Lei Ye & Xiaofan Zeng & Yufan Chen, 2015. "Lower Upper Bound Estimation Method Considering Symmetry for Construction of Prediction Intervals in Flood Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5505-5519, December.
    10. Sebastian Gutierrez Pacheco & Robert Lagacé & Sandrine Hugron & Stéphane Godbout & Line Rochefort, 2021. "Estimation of Daily Water Table Level with Bimonthly Measurements in Restored Ombrotrophic Peatland," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-21, May.
    11. Dilip Kumar Roy & Sujit Kumar Biswas & Kowshik Kumar Saha & Khandakar Faisal Ibn Murad, 2021. "Groundwater Level Forecast Via a Discrete Space-State Modelling Approach as a Surrogate to Complex Groundwater Simulation Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(6), pages 1653-1672, April.
    12. Abdüsselam Altunkaynak, 2014. "Predicting Water Level Fluctuations in Lake Michigan-Huron Using Wavelet-Expert System Methods," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(8), pages 2293-2314, June.
    13. Adib Roshani & Mehdi Hamidi, 2022. "Groundwater Level Fluctuations in Coastal Aquifer: Using Artificial Neural Networks to Predict the Impacts of Climatical CMIP6 Scenarios," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(11), pages 3981-4001, September.
    14. S. Mohanty & Madan Jha & S. Raul & R. Panda & K. Sudheer, 2015. "Using Artificial Neural Network Approach for Simultaneous Forecasting of Weekly Groundwater Levels at Multiple Sites," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5521-5532, December.
    15. Zhenfang He & Yaonan Zhang & Qingchun Guo & Xueru Zhao, 2014. "Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Networks and Wavelet Artificial Neural Networks for Groundwater Depth Data Forecasting with Various Curve Fractal Dimensions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(15), pages 5297-5317, December.
    16. Haijiao Yu & Xiaohu Wen & Qi Feng & Ravinesh C. Deo & Jianhua Si & Min Wu, 2018. "Comparative Study of Hybrid-Wavelet Artificial Intelligence Models for Monthly Groundwater Depth Forecasting in Extreme Arid Regions, Northwest China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(1), pages 301-323, January.
    17. Vahid Habibi & Hasan Ahmadi & Mohammad Jafari & Abolfazl Moeini, 2019. "Application of nonlinear models and groundwater index to predict desertification case study: Sharifabad watershed," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(2), pages 715-733, November.
    18. Thiago Victor Medeiros Nascimento & Celso Augusto Guimarães Santos & Camilo Allyson Simões Farias & Richarde Marques Silva, 2022. "Monthly Streamflow Modeling Based on Self-Organizing Maps and Satellite-Estimated Rainfall Data," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(7), pages 2359-2377, May.
    19. Yong Huang & Kehan Miao & Xiaoguang Liu & Yin Jiang, 2022. "The Hysteresis Response of Groundwater to Reservoir Water Level Changes in a Plain Reservoir Area," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(12), pages 4739-4763, September.
    20. Sandra M. Guzman & Joel O. Paz & Mary Love M. Tagert, 2017. "The Use of NARX Neural Networks to Forecast Daily Groundwater Levels," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(5), pages 1591-1603, March.
    21. Gokmen Tayfur & Ata Nadiri & Asghar Moghaddam, 2014. "Supervised Intelligent Committee Machine Method for Hydraulic Conductivity Estimation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(4), pages 1173-1184, March.
    22. Kostić, Srđan & Stojković, Milan & Guranov, Iva & Vasović, Nebojša, 2019. "Revealing the background of groundwater level dynamics: Contributing factors, complex modeling and engineering applications," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 408-421.
    23. Samad Emamgholizadeh & Khadije Moslemi & Gholamhosein Karami, 2014. "Prediction the Groundwater Level of Bastam Plain (Iran) by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(15), pages 5433-5446, December.
    24. Safavi, Hamid R. & Enteshari, Sajad, 2016. "Conjunctive use of surface and ground water resources using the ant system optimization," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 23-34.
    25. Panigrahi, P. & Srivastava, A.K. & Pradhan, S., 2021. "Runoff and soil conservation effects in Nagpur mandarin orchard under a sub-humid tropical climate of central India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).

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