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Discontinuities in citation relations among journals: self-organized criticality as a model of scientific revolutions and change

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  • Loet Leydesdorff

    (University of Amsterdam)

  • Caroline S. Wagner

    (The Ohio State University)

  • Lutz Bornmann

    (Administrative Headquarters of the Max Planck Society)

Abstract

Using 3-year moving averages of the complete Journal Citation Reports 1994–2016 of the Science Citation Index and the Social Sciences Citation Index (combined), we analyze links between citing and cited journals in terms of (1) whether discontinuities among the networks of consecutive years have occurred; (2) are these discontinuities relatively isolated or networked? (3) Can these discontinuities be used as indicators of novelty, change, and innovation in the sciences? We examine each of the N2 links among the N journals across the years. We find power-laws for the top 10,000 instances of change, which we suggest interpreting in terms of “self-organized criticality”: co-evolutions of avalanches in aggregated citation relations and meta-stable states in the knowledge base can be expected to drive the sciences towards the edges of chaos. The flux of journal–journal citations in new manuscripts may generate an avalanche in the meta-stable networks, but one can expect the effects to remain local (for example, within a specialty). The avalanches can be of any size; they reorient the relevant citation environments by inducing a rewrite of history in the affected partitions.

Suggested Citation

  • Loet Leydesdorff & Caroline S. Wagner & Lutz Bornmann, 2018. "Discontinuities in citation relations among journals: self-organized criticality as a model of scientific revolutions and change," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 116(1), pages 623-644, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:scient:v:116:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11192-018-2734-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s11192-018-2734-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Burmaoglu, Serhat & Sartenaer, Olivier & Porter, Alan, 2019. "Conceptual definition of technology emergence: A long journey from philosophy of science to science policy," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
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    4. Leydesdorff, Loet & Bornmann, Lutz, 2021. "Disruption indices and their calculation using web-of-science data: Indicators of historical developments or evolutionary dynamics?," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 15(4).

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