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A methodological framework for determining an optimal coastal protection strategy against storm surges and sea level rise

Author

Listed:
  • Yuki Miura

    (Columbia University)

  • Huda Qureshi

    (Columbia University)

  • Chanyang Ryoo

    (Columbia University)

  • Philip C. Dinenis

    (Columbia University)

  • Jiao Li

    (Columbia University)

  • Kyle T. Mandli

    (Columbia University)

  • George Deodatis

    (Columbia University)

  • Daniel Bienstock

    (Columbia University)

  • Heather Lazrus

    (National Center for Atmospheric Research)

  • Rebecca Morss

    (National Center for Atmospheric Research)

Abstract

Interdependent critical infrastructures in coastal regions, including transportation, electrical grid, and emergency services, are continually threatened by storm-induced flooding. This has been demonstrated a number of times, most recently by hurricanes such as Harvey and Maria, as well as Sandy and Katrina. The need to protect these infrastructures with robust protection mechanisms is critical for our continued existence along the world’s coastlines. Planning these protections is non-trivial given the rare-event nature of strong storms and climate change manifested through sea level rise. This article proposes a framework for a methodology that combines multiple computational models, stakeholder interviews, and optimization to find an optimal protective strategy over time for critical coastal infrastructure while being constrained by budgetary considerations.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuki Miura & Huda Qureshi & Chanyang Ryoo & Philip C. Dinenis & Jiao Li & Kyle T. Mandli & George Deodatis & Daniel Bienstock & Heather Lazrus & Rebecca Morss, 2021. "A methodological framework for determining an optimal coastal protection strategy against storm surges and sea level rise," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(2), pages 1821-1843, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:107:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-021-04661-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-04661-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rebecca E. Morss & Julie L. Demuth & Ann Bostrom & Jeffrey K. Lazo & Heather Lazrus, 2015. "Flash Flood Risks and Warning Decisions: A Mental Models Study of Forecasters, Public Officials, and Media Broadcasters in Boulder, Colorado," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(11), pages 2009-2028, November.
    2. Madeleine Lopeman & George Deodatis & Guillermo Franco, 2015. "Extreme storm surge hazard estimation in lower Manhattan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(1), pages 355-391, August.
    3. Madeleine Lopeman & George Deodatis & Guillermo Franco, 2015. "Erratum to: Extreme storm surge hazard estimation in lower Manhattan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(1), pages 393-393, August.
    4. Ning Lin & Kerry Emanuel & Michael Oppenheimer & Erik Vanmarcke, 2012. "Physically based assessment of hurricane surge threat under climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(6), pages 462-467, June.
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