IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/endesu/v22y2020i8d10.1007_s10668-019-00565-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatiotemporal modeling of urban land cover changes and carbon storage ecosystem services: case study in Qaem Shahr County, Iran

Author

Listed:
  • Mahdis Sadat

    (University of Tehran)

  • Mahmood Zoghi

    (University of Tehran)

  • Bahram Malekmohammadi

    (University of Tehran)

Abstract

Considering the level of carbon stored in green lands, vast forest ecosystems with large volumes of biomass can play an important role in carbon sequestration and reduction of man-made CO2 emissions. Accordingly, the present study aims to determine the amount of carbon stored in Qaem Shahr County, north of Iran, as part of the remaining Hyrcanian forests. To achieve the research objective, land cover (LC) classification is performed by object-oriented classification. Also, LC changes are modeled for 2027 using CA–Markov model. Then, the carbon storage sub-model of Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model is used to estimate carbon storage level and distribution in the area under study. The results show that the highest amount of stored carbon is in forest areas, which is estimated to be 18.228 megagram (Mg) in 2014. Also, results show that in case of continuation of the current trends, the amount of stored carbon will be reduced by 321,216.68 Mg by 2027. The main reason of this reduction is attributed to the decrease in plant biomass and soil affected by this ecosystem, which has been caused by increased built area in the region, destruction of forest, and range of LCs in recent years. Finally, the results show that urban development and the built lands, in general, have a considerable effect on reducing carbon storage in a nearby town with broad-leaved forests as expected. Therefore, proper planning and management of the development process is necessary in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahdis Sadat & Mahmood Zoghi & Bahram Malekmohammadi, 2020. "Spatiotemporal modeling of urban land cover changes and carbon storage ecosystem services: case study in Qaem Shahr County, Iran," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(8), pages 8135-8158, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:22:y:2020:i:8:d:10.1007_s10668-019-00565-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-019-00565-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10668-019-00565-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10668-019-00565-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stern,Nicholas, 2007. "The Economics of Climate Change," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521700801.
    2. Karan Capoor & Philippe Ambrosi, "undated". "State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2009," World Bank Publications - Reports 13403, The World Bank Group.
    3. Mekonnen H Daba & Sintayehu W Dejene, 2018. "The Role of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services in Carbon Sequestration and its Implication for Climate Change Mitigation," International Journal of Environmental Sciences & Natural Resources, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 11(2), pages 53-62, May.
    4. ,, 2004. "Problems And Solutions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(2), pages 427-429, April.
    5. Cheng Li & Jie Zhao & Nguyen Xuan Thinh & Yantao Xi, 2018. "Assessment of the Effects of Urban Expansion on Terrestrial Carbon Storage: A Case Study in Xuzhou City, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-17, February.
    6. Pagiola, Stefano, 2008. "Payments for environmental services in Costa Rica," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(4), pages 712-724, May.
    7. Gaohuan Liu & Zhonghe Zhao, 2018. "Analysis of Carbon Storage and Its Contributing Factors—A Case Study in the Loess Plateau (China)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-18, June.
    8. ,, 2004. "Problems And Solutions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(1), pages 223-229, February.
    9. Zoghi, Mahmood & Houshang Ehsani, Amir & Sadat, Mahdis & javad Amiri, Mohammad & Karimi, Sepideh, 2017. "Optimization solar site selection by fuzzy logic model and weighted linear combination method in arid and semi-arid region: A case study Isfahan-IRAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 68(P2), pages 986-996.
    10. repec:wbk:wboper:13402 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Maes, Joachim & Egoh, Benis & Willemen, Louise & Liquete, Camino & Vihervaara, Petteri & Schägner, Jan Philipp & Grizzetti, Bruna & Drakou, Evangelia G. & Notte, Alessandra La & Zulian, Grazia & Bour, 2012. "Mapping ecosystem services for policy support and decision making in the European Union," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 31-39.
    12. Rimal, Bhagawat & Sharma, Roshan & Kunwar, Ripu & Keshtkar, Hamidreza & Stork, Nigel E. & Rijal, Sushila & Rahman, Syed Ajijur & Baral, Himlal, 2019. "Effects of land use and land cover change on ecosystem services in the Koshi River Basin, Eastern Nepal," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Nikodinoska, Natasha & Paletto, Alessandro & Pastorella, Fabio & Granvik, Madeleine & Franzese, Pier Paolo, 2018. "Assessing, valuing and mapping ecosystem services at city level: The case of Uppsala (Sweden)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 368(C), pages 411-424.
    14. Wenjie Wang & Weidong Li & Chuanrong Zhang & Weixing Zhang, 2018. "Improving Object-Based Land Use/Cover Classification from Medium Resolution Imagery by Markov Chain Geostatistical Post-Classification," Land, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-16, March.
    15. Yilun Liu & Yueming Hu & Shaoqiu Long & Luo Liu & Xiaoping Liu, 2017. "Analysis of the Effectiveness of Urban Land-Use-Change Models Based on the Measurement of Spatio-Temporal, Dynamic Urban Growth: A Cellular Automata Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-15, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wenbo Cai, 2022. "Identifying Ecosystem Services Bundles for Ecosystem Services Trade-Off/Synergy Governance in an Urbanizing Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-15, September.
    2. Tong Lin & Dafang Wu & Muzhuang Yang & Peifang Ma & Yanyan Liu & Feng Liu & Ziying Gan, 2022. "Evolution and Simulation of Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Storage and Sustainability Assessment in Karst Areas: A Case Study of Guizhou Province," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-19, December.
    3. Chaoyue Wang & Tingzhen Li & Xianhua Guo & Lilin Xia & Chendong Lu & Chunbo Wang, 2022. "Plus-InVEST Study of the Chengdu-Chongqing Urban Agglomeration’s Land-Use Change and Carbon Storage," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, September.
    4. Dong Ouyang & Xigang Zhu & Xingguang Liu & Renfei He & Qian Wan, 2021. "Spatial Differentiation and Driving Factor Analysis of Urban Construction Land Change in County-Level City of Guangxi, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-21, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pistorius, Till & Schaich, Harald & Winkel, Georg & Plieninger, Tobias & Bieling, Claudia & Konold, Werner & Volz, Karl-Reinhard, 2012. "Lessons for REDDplus: A comparative analysis of the German discourse on forest functions and the global ecosystem services debate," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 4-12.
    2. Agnieszka Kurdyś-Kujawska & Agnieszka Sompolska-Rzechuła & Joanna Pawłowska-Tyszko & Michał Soliwoda, 2021. "Crop Insurance, Land Productivity and the Environment: A Way forward to a Better Understanding," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-17, November.
    3. van der Laan, G. & Talman, A.J.J. & Yang, Z.F., 2005. "Computing Integral Solutions of Complementarity Problems," Other publications TiSEM b8e0c74e-2219-4ab0-99a2-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Wenfeng Chi & Yuanyuan Zhao & Wenhui Kuang & Tao Pan & Tu Ba & Jinshen Zhao & Liang Jin & Sisi Wang, 2021. "Impact of Cropland Evolution on Soil Wind Erosion in Inner Mongolia of China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-16, June.
    5. Yulin Zhao, 2012. "Positive Solutions for ( k , n − k ) Conjugate Multipoint Boundary Value Problems in Banach Spaces," International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences, Hindawi, vol. 2012, pages 1-18, August.
    6. Nick Middleton & Utchang Kang, 2017. "Sand and Dust Storms: Impact Mitigation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-22, June.
    7. Tarantino, Emanuele & Pavanini, Nicola & Mayordomo, Sergio, 2020. "The Impact of Alternative Forms of Bank Consolidation on Credit Supply and Financial Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 15069, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Truong Duong & Nguyen Tan, 2012. "On the existence of solutions to generalized quasi-equilibrium problems," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 711-728, April.
    9. Misbah Haque & Imran Ali, 2016. "Uncertain Environment and Organizational Performance: The Mediating Role of Organizational Innovation," Asian Social Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(9), pages 124-124, September.
    10. Jérôme Creel & Éloi Laurent & Jacques Le Cacheux, 2007. "Politiques et performances macroéconomiques de la zone euro. Institutions, incitations, stratégies," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 249-281.
    11. , & ,, 2015. "Strategy-proofness and efficiency with non-quasi-linear preferences: a characterization of minimum price Walrasian rule," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 10(2), May.
    12. Navid Bayati & Mehdi Savaghebi, 2021. "Protection Systems for DC Shipboard Microgrids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-20, August.
    13. Bustillo, Inés & Velloso, Helvia & Vézina, François, 2006. "The Canadian retirement income system," Documentos de Proyectos 3682, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    14. Jesus M. Carro & Alejandra Traferri, 2014. "State Dependence And Heterogeneity In Health Using A Bias‐Corrected Fixed‐Effects Estimator," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 181-207, March.
    15. Nobuyoshi Yamori & Ayami Kobayashi, 2007. "Wealth Effect Of Public Fund Injections To Ailing Banks: Do Deferred Tax Assets And Auditing Firms Matter?," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 58(4), pages 466-483, December.
    16. Ngai Fen Cheung & Anshi Pan, 2012. "Childbirth experience of migrants in China: A systematic review," Nursing & Health Sciences, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 14(3), pages 362-371, September.
    17. Vladimir Krivtsov & Brian J. D’Arcy & Alejandro Escribano Sevilla & Scott Arthur & Chris Semple, 2021. "Mitigating Polluted Runoff from Industrial Estates by SUDS Retrofits: Case Studies of Problems and Solutions Co-Designed with a Participatory Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-24, November.
    18. Operations Evaluation Department, 2005. "Capacity Building in Africa : An OED Evaluation of World Bank Support," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 7468, December.
    19. Jean-Pierre Allegret & Alain Sand-Zantman, 2008. "Monetary Integration Issues in Latin America: A Multivariate Assessment," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 55(3), pages 279-308, September.
    20. M. Balaj & L. J. Lin, 2013. "Existence Criteria for the Solutions of Two Types of Variational Relation Problems," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 156(2), pages 232-246, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:22:y:2020:i:8:d:10.1007_s10668-019-00565-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.