IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/comaot/v26y2020i1d10.1007_s10588-019-09294-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The collapse of the second Yatsenyuk government: roll call vote and dynamic network analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Natasha Kossovsky

    (Carnegie Mellon University)

  • Kathleen M. Carley

    (Carnegie Mellon University)

Abstract

This paper investigates the cause of the collapse of the Second Yatsenyuk Ukrainian government in 2016 and the factions formed throughout the process using a novel method that combines roll call vote analysis and dynamic network analysis. Our findings suggest that a major factor in the dissolution of the coalition government was the 2015 constitutional amendment .We also found that the coalition split into two factions following this event: the People’s Front and Petro Poroshenko Bloc as one faction, and the Union and Fatherland as the other. This split could have a large impact on the 2019 Ukrainian Election and give current President Petro Poroshenko an advantage over Yulia Tymoshenko, who is leading in the polls.

Suggested Citation

  • Natasha Kossovsky & Kathleen M. Carley, 2020. "The collapse of the second Yatsenyuk government: roll call vote and dynamic network analysis," Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 123-143, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:comaot:v:26:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s10588-019-09294-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10588-019-09294-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10588-019-09294-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10588-019-09294-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew Wilson & Sarah Birch, 1999. "Voting Stability, Political Gridlock: Ukraine's 1998 Parliamentary Elections," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(6), pages 1039-1068.
    2. Macon, Kevin T. & Mucha, Peter J. & Porter, Mason A., 2012. "Community structure in the United Nations General Assembly," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(1), pages 343-361.
    3. Lupia, Arthur & Strøm, Kaare, 1995. "Coalition Termination and the Strategic Timing of Parliamentary Elections," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 89(3), pages 648-665, September.
    4. Strom, Kaare, 1985. "Party Goals and Government Performance in Parliamentary Democracies," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 79(3), pages 738-754, September.
    5. Zhang, Yan & Friend, A.J. & Traud, Amanda L. & Porter, Mason A. & Fowler, James H. & Mucha, Peter J., 2008. "Community structure in Congressional cosponsorship networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(7), pages 1705-1712.
    6. Moody, James & Mucha, Peter J., 2013. "Portrait of Political Party Polarization – ERRATUM," Network Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(2), pages 251-251, August.
    7. Moody, James & Mucha, Peter J., 2013. "Portrait of Political Party Polarization1," Network Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(1), pages 119-121, April.
    8. Abdul Ghafar Noury & Simon Hix & Gérard Roland, 2005. "Power to parties: cohesion and competition in the European Parliament 1979-2001," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/7752, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    9. Carlo Dal Maso & Gabriele Pompa & Michelangelo Puliga & Gianni Riotta & Alessandro Chessa, 2014. "Voting Behavior, Coalitions and Government Strength through a Complex Network Analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(12), pages 1-13, December.
    10. Hix, Simon & Noury, Abdul & Roland, Gã‰Rard, 2005. "Power to the Parties: Cohesion and Competition in the European Parliament, 1979–2001," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(2), pages 209-234, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Darko Cherepnalkoski & Andreas Karpf & Igor Mozetič & Miha Grčar, 2016. "Cohesion and Coalition Formation in the European Parliament: Roll-Call Votes and Twitter Activities," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(11), pages 1-27, November.
    2. Neal, Zachary & Domagalski, Rachel & Yan, Xiaoqin, 2020. "Party Control as a Context for Homophily in Collaborations among US House Representatives, 1981 -- 2015," OSF Preprints qwdxs, Center for Open Science.
    3. Edoardo Bressanelli & Christel Koop & Christine Reh, 2016. "The impact of informalisation: Early agreements and voting cohesion in the European Parliament," European Union Politics, , vol. 17(1), pages 91-113, March.
    4. Fraccaroli, Nicolò & Giovannini, Alessandro & Jamet, Jean-François & Persson, Eric, 2022. "Ideology and monetary policy. The role of political parties’ stances in the European Central Bank’s parliamentary hearings," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Heike Klüver & Iñaki Sagarzazu, 2013. "Ideological congruency and decision-making speed: The effect of partisanship across European Union institutions," European Union Politics, , vol. 14(3), pages 388-407, September.
    6. Wagner, Wolfgang & Herranz-Surrallés, Anna & Kaarbo, Juliet & Ostermann, Falk, 2017. "Politicization, party politics and military missions deployment votes in France, Germany, Spain, and the United Kingdom," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Global Governance SP IV 2017-101, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    7. Bruce Desmarais, 2012. "Lessons in disguise: multivariate predictive mistakes in collective choice models," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 719-737, June.
    8. Christian B. Jensen & Jonathan Slapin & Thomas König, 2007. "Who Calls for a Common EU Foreign Policy?," European Union Politics, , vol. 8(3), pages 387-410, September.
    9. Manuele Citi, 2015. "European Union budget politics: Explaining stability and change in spending allocations," European Union Politics, , vol. 16(2), pages 260-280, June.
    10. Michael W Kraus & Bennett Callaghan, 2014. "Noblesse Oblige? Social Status and Economic Inequality Maintenance among Politicians," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(1), pages 1-6, January.
    11. Bjorn Hoyland, 2006. "Allocation of Codecision Reports in the Fifth European Parliament," European Union Politics, , vol. 7(1), pages 30-50, March.
    12. Sandipan Roy & Yves Atchadé & George Michailidis, 2017. "Change point estimation in high dimensional Markov random-field models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 79(4), pages 1187-1206, September.
    13. David M Willumsen, 2018. "The Council’s REACH? National governments’ influence in the European Parliament," European Union Politics, , vol. 19(4), pages 663-683, December.
    14. Simon Hix & Abdul Noury & Gerard Roland, 2018. "Is there a selection bias in roll call votes? Evidence from the European Parliament," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 176(1), pages 211-228, July.
    15. Manow, Philip & Döring, Holger, 2006. "Divided Government European Style? Electoral and Mechanical Causes of European Parliament and Council Divisions," MPIfG Discussion Paper 06/8, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.
    16. Rene Lindstadt, Jonathan B. Slapin & Ryan J. Vander Wielen, 2009. "Balancing Competing Demands: Position-Taking and Election Proximity in the European Parliament," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp295, IIIS.
    17. Hartlapp, Miriam & Metz, Julia & Rauh, Christian, 2010. "How external interests enter the European Commission: Mechanisms at play in legislative position formation," Discussion Papers, Schumpeter Junior Research Group Position Formation in the EU Commission SP IV 2010-501, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    18. René Lindstädt & Jonathan B Slapin & Ryan J Vander Wielen, 2012. "Adaptive behaviour in the European Parliament: Learning to balance competing demands," European Union Politics, , vol. 13(4), pages 465-486, December.
    19. Oliver Treib & Bernd Schlipphak, 2019. "Who gets committee leadership positions in the European Parliament? Evidence from the 2014 selection process," European Union Politics, , vol. 20(2), pages 219-238, June.
    20. Xiaotong Sun & Xi Chen & Charalampos Stasinakis & Georgios Sermpinis, 2022. "Voter Coalitions and democracy in Decentralized Finance: Evidence from MakerDAO," Papers 2210.11203, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:comaot:v:26:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s10588-019-09294-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.