IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v129y2015i1p1-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Quantitative tools and simultaneous actions needed for species conservation under climate change–reply to Shoo et al. (2013)

Author

Listed:
  • Marko Ahteensuu
  • Sami Aikio
  • Pedro Cardoso
  • Marko Hyvärinen
  • Maria Hällfors
  • Susanna Lehvävirta
  • Leif Schulman
  • Elina Vaara

Abstract

We identify four issues in the decision framework for species conservation management under climate change proposed by Shoo et al. ( 2013 ) Clim Chan 119:239–246 and suggest ways to address them. First, binary-decision flow charts require Yes/No answers, which are not appropriate in most conservation decisions. A quantitative framework is preferable and action-guidance should be obtained even when the realistic answer to some questions remains “we simply do not know”. Second, the proposed flow chart imposes an a priori order of precedence and does not explicitly allow simultaneous actions. A workable framework should enable optimal allocation between multiple kinds of conservation efforts and permit complementary actions. Third, the probability of success, co-benefit to non-target species, and cost are unlikely to have a simple, consistent relationship across taxa. These variables need to be assessed case-by-case for each conservation measure and species. Finally, the decision framework disregards the legal, social, and ethical aspects pertaining to decision-making. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Marko Ahteensuu & Sami Aikio & Pedro Cardoso & Marko Hyvärinen & Maria Hällfors & Susanna Lehvävirta & Leif Schulman & Elina Vaara, 2015. "Quantitative tools and simultaneous actions needed for species conservation under climate change–reply to Shoo et al. (2013)," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 1-7, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:129:y:2015:i:1:p:1-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1311-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10584-014-1311-0
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-014-1311-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R. Warren & J. VanDerWal & J. Price & J. A. Welbergen & I. Atkinson & J. Ramirez-Villegas & T. J. Osborn & A. Jarvis & L. P. Shoo & S. E. Williams & J. Lowe, 2013. "Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 678-682, July.
    2. John Harte & Annette Ostling & Jessica L. Green & Ann Kinzig, 2004. "Climate change and extinction risk," Nature, Nature, vol. 430(6995), pages 34-34, July.
    3. Luke Shoo & Ary Hoffmann & Stephen Garnett & Robert Pressey & Yvette Williams & Martin Taylor & Lorena Falconi & Colin Yates & John Scott & Diogo Alagador & Stephen Williams, 2013. "Making decisions to conserve species under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 119(2), pages 239-246, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Adriano Mazziotta & María Triviño & Olli-Pekka Tikkanen & Jari Kouki & Harri Strandman & Mikko Mönkkönen, 2016. "Habitat associations drive species vulnerability to climate change in boreal forests," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 135(3), pages 585-595, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Beaumont, Linda J. & Graham, Erin & Duursma, Daisy Englert & Wilson, Peter D. & Cabrelli, Abigail & Baumgartner, John B. & Hallgren, Willow & Esperón-Rodríguez, Manuel & Nipperess, David A. & Warren, , 2016. "Which species distribution models are more (or less) likely to project broad-scale, climate-induced shifts in species ranges?," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 342(C), pages 135-146.
    2. James W. Pearce-Higgins & Patrick J. Lindley & Ian G. Johnstone & Reg I. Thorpe & David J.T. Douglas & Murray C. Grant, 2019. "Site-based adaptation reduces the negative effects of weather upon a southern range margin Welsh black grouse Tetrao tetrix population that is vulnerable to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 253-265, March.
    3. Václavík, Tomáš & Meentemeyer, Ross K., 2009. "Invasive species distribution modeling (iSDM): Are absence data and dispersal constraints needed to predict actual distributions?," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(23), pages 3248-3258.
    4. Andrew John & Avril Horne & Rory Nathan & Michael Stewardson & J. Angus Webb & Jun Wang & N. LeRoy Poff, 2021. "Climate change and freshwater ecology: Hydrological and ecological methods of comparable complexity are needed to predict risk," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(2), March.
    5. Brandt, Laura A. & Benscoter, Allison M. & Harvey, Rebecca & Speroterra, Carolina & Bucklin, David & Romañach, Stephanie S. & Watling, James I. & Mazzotti, Frank J., 2017. "Comparison of climate envelope models developed using expert-selected variables versus statistical selection," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 345(C), pages 10-20.
    6. Tasmin L. Rymer & Neville Pillay & Carsten Schradin, 2013. "Extinction or Survival? Behavioral Flexibility in Response to Environmental Change in the African Striped Mouse Rhabdomys," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-24, January.
    7. Alexander S Anderson & Collin J Storlie & Luke P Shoo & Richard G Pearson & Stephen E Williams, 2013. "Current Analogues of Future Climate Indicate the Likely Response of a Sensitive Montane Tropical Avifauna to a Warming World," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(7), pages 1-12, July.
    8. Joyce Maschinski & Michael Ross & Hong Liu & Joe O’Brien & Eric Wettberg & Kristin Haskins, 2011. "Sinking ships: conservation options for endemic taxa threatened by sea level rise," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(1), pages 147-167, July.
    9. Shakil Ahmad Romshoo & Jasia Bashir & Irfan Rashid, 2020. "Twenty-first century-end climate scenario of Jammu and Kashmir Himalaya, India, using ensemble climate models," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 1473-1491, October.
    10. Perez, Carlos & Roncoli, Carla & Neely, Constance & Steiner, Jean L., 2007. "Can carbon sequestration markets benefit low-income producers in semi-arid Africa? Potentials and challenges," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 2-12, April.
    11. James I Watling & David N Bucklin & Carolina Speroterra & Laura A Brandt & Frank J Mazzotti & Stephanie S Romañach, 2013. "Validating Predictions from Climate Envelope Models," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(5), pages 1-12, May.
    12. Kaushal, Kevin R. & Navrud, Ståle, 2018. "Global Biodiversity Costs of Climate Change. Improving the damage assessment of species loss in Integrated Assessment Models," Working Paper Series 4-2018, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, School of Economics and Business.
    13. Kim Meyer Hall & Heidi J. Albers & Majid Alkaee Taleghan & Thomas G. Dietterich, 2018. "Optimal Spatial-Dynamic Management of Stochastic Species Invasions," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 70(2), pages 403-427, June.
    14. Konstantinos Kougioumoutzis & Alexandros Papanikolaou & Ioannis P. Kokkoris & Arne Strid & Panayotis Dimopoulos & Maria Panitsa, 2022. "Climate Change Impacts and Extinction Risk Assessment of Nepeta Representatives (Lamiaceae) in Greece," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-15, April.
    15. Amintas Brandão Jr. & Lisa Rausch & América Paz Durán & Ciniro Costa Jr. & Seth A. Spawn & Holly K. Gibbs, 2020. "Estimating the Potential for Conservation and Farming in the Amazon and Cerrado under Four Policy Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-22, February.
    16. D. A. Elston & M. J. Brewer & B. Martay & A. Johnston & P. A. Henrys & J. R. Bell & R. Harrington & D. Monteith & T. M. Brereton & K. L. Boughey & J. W. Pearce-Higgins, 2017. "A New Approach to Modelling the Relationship Between Annual Population Abundance Indices and Weather Data," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 22(4), pages 427-445, December.
    17. Jahan Zeb Khan & Muhammad Zaheer, 2018. "Impacts Of Environmental Changeability And Human Activities On Hydrological Processes And Response ," Environmental Contaminants Reviews (ECR), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 1(1), pages 13-17, June.
    18. Thurner, Stephanie D & Converse, Sarah J & Branch, Trevor A, 2021. "Modeling opportunistic exploitation: increased extinction risk when targeting more than one species," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 454(C).
    19. Sébastien Bonthoux & Andrés Baselga & Gérard Balent, 2013. "Assessing Community-Level and Single-Species Models Predictions of Species Distributions and Assemblage Composition after 25 Years of Land Cover Change," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(1), pages 1-8, January.
    20. Tews, Joerg & Ferguson, Michael A.D. & Fahrig, Lenore, 2007. "Potential net effects of climate change on High Arctic Peary caribou: Lessons from a spatially explicit simulation model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 85-98.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:129:y:2015:i:1:p:1-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.