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Habitat associations drive species vulnerability to climate change in boreal forests

Author

Listed:
  • Adriano Mazziotta

    (University of Copenhagen
    University of Jyvaskyla)

  • María Triviño

    (University of Jyvaskyla)

  • Olli-Pekka Tikkanen

    (Finnish Forest Research Institute
    University of Eastern Finland)

  • Jari Kouki

    (University of Eastern Finland)

  • Harri Strandman

    (University of Eastern Finland)

  • Mikko Mönkkönen

    (University of Jyvaskyla)

Abstract

Species climate change vulnerability, their predisposition to be adversely affected, has been assessed for a limited portion of biodiversity. Our knowledge of climate change impacts is often based only on exposure, the magnitude of climatic variation in the area occupied by the species, even if species sensitivity, the species ability to tolerate climatic variations determined by traits, plays a key role in determining vulnerability. We analyse the role of species’ habitat associations, a proxy for sensitivity, in explaining vulnerability for two poorly-known but species-rich taxa in boreal forest, saproxylic beetles and fungi, using three IPCC emissions scenarios. Towards the end of the 21st century we projected an improvement in habitat quality associated with an increase of deadwood, an important resource for species, as a consequence of increased tree growth under high emissions scenarios. However, climate change will potentially reduce habitat suitability for ~9–43 % of the threatened deadwood-associated species. This loss is likely caused by future increase in timber extraction and decomposition rates causing higher deadwood turnover, which have a strong negative effect on boreal forest biodiversity. Our results are species- and scenario-specific. Diversified forest management and restoration ensuring deadwood resources in the landscape would allow the persistence of species whose capacity of delivering important supporting ecosystem services can be undermined by climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Adriano Mazziotta & María Triviño & Olli-Pekka Tikkanen & Jari Kouki & Harri Strandman & Mikko Mönkkönen, 2016. "Habitat associations drive species vulnerability to climate change in boreal forests," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 135(3), pages 585-595, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:135:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-015-1591-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1591-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Louise Mair & Jane K. Hill & Richard Fox & Marc Botham & Tom Brereton & Chris D. Thomas, 2014. "Abundance changes and habitat availability drive species’ responses to climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(2), pages 127-131, February.
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    4. D. A. Fordham & H. R. Akçakaya & B. W. Brook & A. Rodríguez & P. C. Alves & E. Civantos & M. Triviño & M. J. Watts & M. B. Araújo, 2013. "Adapted conservation measures are required to save the Iberian lynx in a changing climate," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(10), pages 899-903, October.
    5. Luke Shoo & Ary Hoffmann & Stephen Garnett & Robert Pressey & Yvette Williams & Martin Taylor & Lorena Falconi & Colin Yates & John Scott & Diogo Alagador & Stephen Williams, 2013. "Making decisions to conserve species under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 119(2), pages 239-246, July.
    6. Mark A. Bradford & Robert J. Warren II & Petr Baldrian & Thomas W. Crowther & Daniel S. Maynard & Emily E. Oldfield & William R. Wieder & Stephen A. Wood & Joshua R. King, 2014. "Climate fails to predict wood decomposition at regional scales," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(7), pages 625-630, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Eyvindson, Kyle & Repo, Anna & Mönkkönen, Mikko, 2018. "Mitigating forest biodiversity and ecosystem service losses in the era of bio-based economy," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 119-127.
    2. Floris M. Beest & Efrén López-Blanco & Lars H. Hansen & Niels M. Schmidt, 2023. "Extreme shifts in habitat suitability under contemporary climate change for a high-Arctic herbivore," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(4), pages 1-14, April.

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