IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/annopr/v312y2022i1d10.1007_s10479-021-04150-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A new concept of reliability system and applications in finance

Author

Listed:
  • Roy Cerqueti

    (Department of Social and Economic Sciences
    London South Bank University)

Abstract

This paper proposes and explores an extension of the usual k-out-of-n systems, where the components of the system are assumed to play different roles in determining its failure and with not necessarily i.i.d. components lifetimes. The theoretical reliability framework is compared with the standard weighted k-out-of-n systems, and it is actually adopted for the development of a financial derivative model whose outcome depends on the crossing of some predefined barriers of a set of assets. More precisely, such a derivative is presented as a coherent system whose components are the assets of the basket.

Suggested Citation

  • Roy Cerqueti, 2022. "A new concept of reliability system and applications in finance," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 312(1), pages 45-64, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:312:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-021-04150-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-021-04150-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10479-021-04150-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10479-021-04150-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xu, Guoping & Zheng, Harry, 2010. "Basket options valuation for a local volatility jump-diffusion model with the asymptotic expansion method," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 415-422, December.
    2. Eryilmaz, Serkan, 2018. "The number of failed components in a k-out-of-n system consisting of multiple types of components," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 246-250.
    3. Eryilmaz, Serkan, 2012. "On the mean residual life of a k-out-of-n:G system with a single cold standby component," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 273-277.
    4. Yamamoto, Hisashi & Akiba, Tomoaki & Nagatsuka, Hideki & Moriyama, Yurie, 2008. "Recursive algorithm for the reliability of a connected-(1, 2)-or-(2, 1)-out-of-(m, n):F lattice system," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 188(3), pages 854-864, August.
    5. Guoping Xu & Harry Zheng, 2010. "Basket Options Valuation for a Local Volatility Jump-Diffusion Model with the Asymptotic Expansion Method," Papers 1003.1848, arXiv.org.
    6. Borgonovo, E., 2010. "The reliability importance of components and prime implicants in coherent and non-coherent systems including total-order interactions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 204(3), pages 485-495, August.
    7. Navarro, Jorge & Ruiz, Jose M. & Sandoval, Carlos J., 2005. "A note on comparisons among coherent systems with dependent components using signatures," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 179-185, April.
    8. Gianluca Fusai & I. Abrahams & Carlo Sgarra, 2006. "An exact analytical solution for discrete barrier options," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, January.
    9. Peña, Javier & Vera, Juan C. & Zuluaga, Luis F., 2012. "Computing arbitrage upper bounds on basket options in the presence of bid–ask spreads," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 369-376.
    10. Marichal, Jean-Luc & Mathonet, Pierre & Spizzichino, Fabio, 2015. "On modular decompositions of system signatures," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 19-32.
    11. Marichal, Jean-Luc & Mathonet, Pierre, 2011. "Extensions of system signatures to dependent lifetimes: Explicit expressions and interpretations," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(5), pages 931-936, May.
    12. Subhash Kochar & Hari Mukerjee & Francisco J. Samaniego, 1999. "The “signature” of a coherent system and its application to comparisons among systems," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(5), pages 507-523, August.
    13. Francisco J. Samaniego, 2007. "System Signatures and their Applications in Engineering Reliability," International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer, number 978-0-387-71797-5, December.
    14. Petchrompo, Sanyapong & Li, Hao & Erguido, Asier & Riches, Chris & Parlikad, Ajith Kumar, 2020. "A value-based approach to optimizing long-term maintenance plans for a multi-asset k-out-of-N system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    15. Wang, Yong & Li, Lin & Huang, Shuhong & Chang, Qing, 2012. "Reliability and covariance estimation of weighted k-out-of-n multi-state systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 138-147.
    16. Barlow, Richard E. & Proschan, Frank, 1975. "Importance of system components and fault tree events," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 153-173, April.
    17. Kim, Jerim & Kim, Jeongsim & Joo Yoo, Hyun & Kim, Bara, 2015. "Pricing external barrier options in a regime-switching model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 123-143.
    18. Shaked, Moshe & Tong, Y. L., 1985. "Some partial orderings of exchangeable random variables by positive dependence," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 333-349, December.
    19. Zhang, Nan & Fouladirad, Mitra & Barros, Anne, 2019. "Reliability-based measures and prognostic analysis of a K-out-of-N system in a random environment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(3), pages 1120-1131.
    20. Hobson, David & Laurence, Peter & Wang, Tai-Ho, 2005. "Static-arbitrage optimal subreplicating strategies for basket options," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 553-572, December.
    21. Sesana, Debora & Marazzina, Daniele & Fusai, Gianluca, 2014. "Pricing exotic derivatives exploiting structure," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 236(1), pages 369-381.
    22. Zhang, Yiying, 2021. "Reliability Analysis of Randomly Weighted k-out-of-n Systems with Heterogeneous Components," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    23. Li, Wei & Zuo, Ming J., 2008. "Reliability evaluation of multi-state weighted k-out-of-n systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 160-167.
    24. Alexander J. McNeil & Rüdiger Frey & Paul Embrechts, 2015. "Quantitative Risk Management: Concepts, Techniques and Tools Revised edition," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 2, number 10496.
    25. Navarro, Jorge & Spizzichino, Fabio & Balakrishnan, N., 2010. "Applications of average and projected systems to the study of coherent systems," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(6), pages 1471-1482, July.
    26. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    27. Parsa, Motahareh & Di Crescenzo, Antonio & Jabbari, Hadi, 2018. "Analysis of reliability systems via Gini-type index," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(1), pages 340-353.
    28. Faghih-Roohi, Shahrzad & Xie, Min & Ng, Kien Ming & Yam, Richard C.M., 2014. "Dynamic availability assessment and optimal component design of multi-state weighted k-out-of-n systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 57-62.
    29. Navarro, Jorge & Pellerey, Franco & Di Crescenzo, Antonio, 2015. "Orderings of coherent systems with randomized dependent components," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 240(1), pages 127-139.
    30. Brockman, Paul & Turtle, H. J., 2003. "A barrier option framework for corporate security valuation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(3), pages 511-529, March.
    31. Sheldon Lin, X., 1998. "Double barrier hitting time distributions with applications to exotic options," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 45-58, October.
    32. Sheng, Yuhong & Ke, Hua, 2020. "Reliability evaluation of uncertain k-out-of-n systems with multiple states," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    33. Wu, Shaomin & Coolen, Frank P.A., 2013. "A cost-based importance measure for system components: An extension of the Birnbaum importance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 225(1), pages 189-195.
    34. Borgonovo, Emanuele & Aliee, Hananeh & Glaß, Michael & Teich, Jürgen, 2016. "A new time-independent reliability importance measure," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 254(2), pages 427-442.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Roy Cerqueti & Giulia Rotundo, 2017. "Rational expectations and stochastic systems," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 17060, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Oct 2019.
    2. Jorgen Vitting Andersen & Roy Cerqueti & Jessica Riccioni, 2021. "Rational expectations as a tool for predicting failure of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems," Papers 2112.10672, arXiv.org.
    3. Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Roy Cerqueti & Jessica Riccioni, 2023. "Rational expectations as a tool for predicting failure of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems," Post-Print hal-03634370, HAL.
    4. Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Roy Cerqueti & Jessica Riccioni, 2023. "Rational expectations as a tool for predicting failure of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-03634370, HAL.
    5. Jorgen-Vitting Andersen & Roy Cerqueti & Jessica Riccioni, 2023. "Rational expectations as a tool for predicting failure of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 326(1), pages 295-316, July.
    6. Zarezadeh, S. & Mohammadi, L. & Balakrishnan, N., 2018. "On the joint signature of several coherent systems with some shared components," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(3), pages 1092-1100.
    7. Jia, Xujie & Shen, Jingyuan & Xu, Fanqi & Ma, Ruihong & Song, Xueying, 2019. "Modular decomposition signature for systems with sequential failure effect," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 435-444.
    8. Marichal, Jean-Luc & Mathonet, Pierre & Waldhauser, Tamás, 2011. "On signature-based expressions of system reliability," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(10), pages 1410-1416, November.
    9. Sadiya & Mangey Ram & Akshay Kumar, 2022. "A New Approach to Compute System Reliability with Three-Serially Linked Modules," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-18, December.
    10. Borgonovo, Emanuele & Aliee, Hananeh & Glaß, Michael & Teich, Jürgen, 2016. "A new time-independent reliability importance measure," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 254(2), pages 427-442.
    11. Ioannis S. Triantafyllou, 2022. "Signature-Based Analysis of the Weighted- r -within-Consecutive- k -out-of- n : F Systems," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-13, July.
    12. Marichal, Jean-Luc & Mathonet, Pierre & Navarro, Jorge & Paroissin, Christian, 2017. "Joint signature of two or more systems with applications to multistate systems made up of two-state components," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 263(2), pages 559-570.
    13. Gaofeng Da & Lvyu Xia & Taizhong Hu, 2014. "On Computing Signatures of k-out-of-n Systems Consisting of Modules," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 223-233, March.
    14. Marichal, Jean-Luc & Mathonet, Pierre & Spizzichino, Fabio, 2015. "On modular decompositions of system signatures," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 19-32.
    15. Marichal, Jean-Luc & Mathonet, Pierre, 2013. "On the extensions of Barlow–Proschan importance index and system signature to dependent lifetimes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 48-56.
    16. Dong Lyu & Shubin Si & Zhiqiang Cai & Liyang Xie, 2020. "Computational method for importance measure of the k-out-of-n system based on stress–strength interference," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(1), pages 27-40, February.
    17. Eryilmaz, Serkan & Ucum, Kaan Ayberk, 2021. "The lost capacity by the weighted k-out-of-n system upon system failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    18. Zhu, Xiaoyan & Chen, Zhiqiang & Borgonovo, Emanuele, 2021. "Remaining-useful-lifetime and system-remaining-profit based importance measures for decisions on preventive maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    19. Serkan Eryilmaz, 2014. "A new look at dynamic behavior of binary coherent system from a state-level perspective," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 212(1), pages 115-125, January.
    20. Xianzhen Huang & Frank PA Coolen, 2018. "Reliability sensitivity analysis of coherent systems based on survival signature," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 232(6), pages 627-634, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:312:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-021-04150-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.