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Data measurement and the change in persistence of tourist arrivals to the United States in the aftermath of the September 11th terrorist attacks

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  • James E Payne

    (Benedictine University, USA)

  • Luis A Gil-Alana

    (University of Navarra, Spain)

Abstract

This research note examines the change in data measurement for international tourist arrivals to the United States due to the requirement that all tourists must complete the INS I-94 entry form and its impact on tourist arrivals in the aftermath of the September 2001 terrorist attacks. Using fractional integration techniques, we find that the majority of tourist arrivals from various regions around the world are mean reverting, but the degree of persistence increased in the post-September 2001 period.

Suggested Citation

  • James E Payne & Luis A Gil-Alana, 2018. "Data measurement and the change in persistence of tourist arrivals to the United States in the aftermath of the September 11th terrorist attacks," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(1), pages 41-50, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:24:y:2018:i:1:p:41-50
    DOI: 10.1177/1354816617719161
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2010. "International Arrivals in the Canary Islands: Persistence, Long Memory, Seasonality and other Implicit Dynamics," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(2), pages 287-302, June.
    2. Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990. "Seasonal integration and cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238.
    3. J. Cunado & L.A. Gil-Alana & F. Perez de Gracia, 2008. "Persistence in International Monthly Arrivals in the Canary Islands," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(1), pages 123-129, March.
    4. Luis A. Gil‐Alana, 2008. "Fractional integration and structural breaks at unknown periods of time," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 163-185, January.
    5. Gil-Alana & Andrea Mervar & Payne, 2015. "Measuring persistence in Croatian tourism: evidence from the Adriatic region," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(46), pages 4901-4917, October.
    6. Nicholas Apergis & Andrea Mervar & James E. Payne, 2017. "Forecasting disaggregated tourist arrivals in Croatia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(1), pages 78-98, February.
    7. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 2003. "Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(1), pages 1-22.
    8. J. Cunado & L.A. Gil-Alana & F. Péarez de Gracia, 2005. "The Nature of Seasonality in Spanish Tourism Time Series," Tourism Economics, , vol. 11(4), pages 483-499, December.
    9. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cunado & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2008. "Tourism in the Canary Islands: forecasting using several seasonal time series models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(7), pages 621-636.
    10. J. Cunado & L.A. Gil-Alana & F. P Erez de Gracia, 2008. "Fractional Integration and Structural Breaks: Evidence from International Monthly Arrivals in the USA," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(1), pages 13-23, March.
    11. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Andrea Mervar & James E. Payne, 2016. "Modeling the degree of persistence in Croatian tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(3), pages 655-664, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Haiyan Ma & Yung-ho Chiu & Xiaocong Tian & Juanjuan Zhang & Quan Guo, 2020. "Safety or Travel: Which Is More Important? The Impact of Disaster Events on Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-12, April.
    2. Luis A Gil-Alana & James E Payne, 2022. "Persistence, seasonality, and fractional integration within a nonlinear framework: Evidence from US citizens’ overseas travel," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(3), pages 654-660, May.
    3. Luis A Gil-Alana & à gueda Gil-López & Elena San Román, 2021. "Tourism persistence in Spain: National versus international visitors," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 614-625, June.
    4. James E Payne & Junsoo Lee, 2024. "Global perspective on the permanent or transitory nature of shocks to tourist arrivals: Evidence from new unit root tests with structural breaks and factors," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(1), pages 67-103, February.

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