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The Christmas—Easter Shift: Simulating Alpine Ski Resorts' Future Development under Climate Change Conditions Using the Parameter ‘Optimal Ski Day’

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  • Anja Berghammer
  • Jürgen Schmude

Abstract

Ski tourism is strongly influenced by climate change. The economic success of ski tourism regions depends on both the quantity and quality of the ski resorts' opening days. However, to date there has been little research on the quality of ski season opening days. The purpose of this paper is to develop and apply a parameter that enables us to assess the future development of ski seasons in a differentiated way. The results show a decrease of ski area opening days from 2011 to 2060 in the investigation area in general and a trend to an intra-seasonal postponing of optimal ski days, labelled the ‘Christmas– Easter shift’. The parameter developed contributes to our understanding of climate change effects on the tourism supply-side at a regional scale and offers decision support to ski lift operators or tourism associations in terms of adaptation measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Anja Berghammer & Jürgen Schmude, 2014. "The Christmas—Easter Shift: Simulating Alpine Ski Resorts' Future Development under Climate Change Conditions Using the Parameter ‘Optimal Ski Day’," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(2), pages 323-336, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:20:y:2014:i:2:p:323-336
    DOI: 10.5367/te.2013.0272
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anja Soboll & Michael Elbers & Roland Barthel & Juergen Schmude & Andreas Ernst & Ralf Ziller, 2011. "Integrated regional modelling and scenario development to evaluate future water demand under global change conditions," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 477-498, April.
    2. Roland Barthel & Stephan Janisch & Darla Nickel & Aleksandar Trifkovic & Thomas Hörhan, 2010. "Using the Multiactor-Approach in G lowa-Danube to Simulate Decisions for the Water Supply Sector Under Conditions of Global Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(2), pages 239-275, January.
    3. Anja Soboll & Tobias Klier & Stefan Heumann, 2012. "The Prospective Impact of Climate Change on Tourism and Regional Economic Development: A Simulation Study for Bavaria," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(1), pages 139-157, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Falk, Martin & Hagsten, Eva, 2016. "Importance of early snowfall for Swedish ski resorts: Evidence based on monthly data," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 61-73.
    2. Thomas Bausch & Karin Koziol, 2020. "New Policy Approaches for Increasing Response to Climate Change in Small Rural Municipalities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-17, March.
    3. Thomas Bausch & Andreas Humpe & Stefan Gössling, 2019. "Does Climate Change Influence Guest Loyalty at Alpine Winter Destinations?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-22, August.
    4. Robert Steiger & Eva Posch & Gottfried Tappeiner & Janette Walde, 2020. "Effects of climate change on tourism demand considering individual seasonal preferences," Working Papers 2020-08, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck.
    5. Martin Falk & Robert Steiger, 2020. "Size facilitates profitable ski lift operations," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(7), pages 1197-1211, November.

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