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Birth Seasonality Patterns in Central and Eastern Europe during 1996-2012

Author

Listed:
  • Christiana Brigitte Balan

    (“Alexandru Ioan Cuza” University of Iasi)

  • Elisabeta Jaba

    (“Alexandru Ioan Cuza” University of Iasi)

Abstract

Fertility is characterised by seasonal and cyclical variations and also by another trend by geographic region and time span. This study aims to identify a birth seasonality model for post-communist Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries and to analyse the features of birth seasonality model by CEE countries during the period 1996-2012. The method used to analyse the seasonal pattern of live births is the decomposition of time series using the moving average filter and the identification of seasonal variation by calculating seasonal factors. The results show that seasonality of live births in CEE countries is characterised by two peaks, one in July and another in September, except the Baltic countries and the Czech Republic.

Suggested Citation

  • Christiana Brigitte Balan & Elisabeta Jaba, 2016. "Birth Seasonality Patterns in Central and Eastern Europe during 1996-2012," Romanian Statistical Review, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(1), pages 9-20, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:rsr:journl:v:64:y:2016:i:1:p:9-20
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dimiter Philipov & Henriette Engelhardt & Maria Rita Testa & Maria Winkler-Dworak & Richard Gisser & Tomás Sobotka & Wolfgang Lutz, 2005. "Monthly Estimates of the Quantum of Fertility: Towards a Fertility Monitoring System in Austria," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 3(1), pages 109-141.
    2. Ester Rizzi & Gianpiero Dalla-Zuanna, 2007. "The seasonality of conception," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 44(4), pages 705-728, November.
    3. Tomas Sobotka & Maria Winkler-Dworak & Maria Rita Testa & Wolfgang Lutz & Dimiter Philipov & Henriette Engelhardt & Richard Gisser, 2005. "Monthly Estimates of the Quantum of Fertility: Towards a Fertility Monitoring System in Austria," VID Working Papers 0501, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna.
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    1. repec:cup:judgdm:v:15:y:2020:i:5:p:756-782 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Evgeny A. Antipov & Elena B. Pokryshevskaya, 2020. "Impact of superstitious beliefs on the timing of marriage and childbirth: Evidence from Denmark," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 15(5), pages 756-782, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    birth pattern; seasonality; seasonal factors; similarities; Central and Eastern Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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