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Traffic congestion prediction based on Estimated Time of Arrival

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  • Noureen Zafar
  • Irfan Ul Haq

Abstract

With the rapid expansion of sensor technologies and wireless network infrastructure, research and development of traffic associated applications, such as real-time traffic maps, on-demand travel route reference and traffic forecasting are gaining much more attention than ever before. In this paper, we elaborate on our traffic prediction application, which is based on traffic data collected through Google Map API. Our application is a desktop-based application that predicts traffic congestion state using Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA). In addition to ETA, the prediction system takes into account various features such as weather, time period, special conditions, holidays, etc. The label of the classifier is identified as one of the five traffic states i.e. smooth, slightly congested, congested, highly congested or blockage. The results demonstrate that the random forest classification algorithm has the highest prediction accuracy of 92 percent followed by XGBoost and KNN respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Noureen Zafar & Irfan Ul Haq, 2020. "Traffic congestion prediction based on Estimated Time of Arrival," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(12), pages 1-19, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0238200
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0238200
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sweet, Matthias N., 2014. "Do firms flee traffic congestion?," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 40-49.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bencsik, Panka & Lusher, Lester & Taylor, Rebecca L.C., 2023. "Slow Traffic, Fast Food: The Effects of Time Lost on Food Store Choice," IZA Discussion Papers 16036, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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