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Stuck in Time: Negative Income Shock Constricts the Temporal Window of Valuation Spanning the Future and the Past

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  • Warren K Bickel
  • A George Wilson
  • Chen Chen
  • Mikhail N Koffarnus
  • Christopher T Franck

Abstract

Insufficient resources are associated with negative consequences including decreased valuation of future reinforcers. To determine if these effects result from scarcity, we examined the consequences of acute, abrupt changes in resource availability on delay discounting—the subjective devaluation of rewards as delay to receipt increases. In the current study, 599 individuals recruited from Amazon Mechanical Turk read a narrative of a sudden change (positive, neutral, or negative) to one’s hypothetical future income and completed a delay discounting task examining future and past monetary gains and losses. The effects of the explicit zero procedure, a framing manipulation, was also examined. Negative income shock significantly increased discounting rates for gains and loses occurring both in the future and the past. Positive income windfalls significantly decreased discounting to a lesser extent. The framing procedure significantly reduced discounting under all conditions. Negative income shocks may result in short-term choices.

Suggested Citation

  • Warren K Bickel & A George Wilson & Chen Chen & Mikhail N Koffarnus & Christopher T Franck, 2016. "Stuck in Time: Negative Income Shock Constricts the Temporal Window of Valuation Spanning the Future and the Past," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(9), pages 1-11, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0163051
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0163051
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Thomas Piketty & Emmanuel Saez, 2014. "Inequality in the long run," PSE - Labex "OSE-Ouvrir la Science Economique" halshs-01053609, HAL.
    2. Lawrance, Emily C, 1991. "Poverty and the Rate of Time Preference: Evidence from Panel Data," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(1), pages 54-77, February.
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    1. Hilbert, Leon P. & Noordewier, Marret K. & van Dijk, Wilco W., 2022. "Financial scarcity increases discounting of gains and losses: Experimental evidence from a household task," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    2. Rita Abdel Sater, 2021. "Essays on the application of behavioural insights to environmental policy [Essais sur l’application des connaissances comportementales aux politiques environnementales]," SciencePo Working papers tel-03450909, HAL.
    3. Preuss, Malte, 2021. "Intra-individual stability of two survey measures on forward-looking attitude," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 201-227.
    4. Gideon P. Naudé & Sean B. Dolan & Justin C. Strickland & Meredith S. Berry & David J. Cox & Matthew W. Johnson, 2021. "The Influence of Episodic Future Thinking and Graphic Warning Labels on Delay Discounting and Cigarette Demand," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(23), pages 1-15, November.
    5. Rita Abdel Sater, 2021. "Essays on the application of behavioural insights to environmental policy [Essais sur l’application des connaissances comportementales aux politiques environnementales]," SciencePo Working papers Main tel-03450909, HAL.
    6. Kalliu Carvalho Couto & Flora Moura Lorenzo & Marco Tagliabue & Marcelo Borges Henriques & Roberta Freitas Lemos, 2020. "Underlying Principles of a Covid-19 Behavioral Vaccine for a Sustainable Cultural Change," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-24, December.

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