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A GARCH Approach to Modelling Ocean Grain Freight Rates

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  • Sneha Jonnala
  • Stephen Fuller
  • David Bessler

Abstract

Directed graphs and autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic error processes are used in the specification and estimation of an ocean grain rate equation. Results show voyage distance, ship size, contract terms, flag and season are important explainers of rates, as is ship tonnage contracted for haulage of selected other dry bulk commodities. Findings suggest the importance of efficient port infrastructure and its ability to accommodate the increasingly-large, more efficient bulk carrier in maintaining exporting countries' competitiveness in world grain markets.International Journal of Maritime Economics (2002) 4, 103–125. doi: 10.1057/palgrave.ijme.9100039

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Palgrave Macmillan in its journal International Journal of Maritime Economics.

Volume (Year): 4 (2002)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 103-125

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Handle: RePEc:pal:marecl:v:4:y:2002:i:2:p:103-125

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Cited by:
  1. Babula, Ronald A. & Bessler, David A. & Rogowsky, Robert A., 2005. "Dynamic Economic Relationships Among U.S. Soy Product Markets: Using a Cointegrated Vector Autoregression Approach with Directed Acyclic Graphs," Working Paper ID Series 15880, United States International Trade Commission, Office of Industries.
  2. Goulas, Lambros & Skiadopoulos, George, 2012. "Are freight futures markets efficient? Evidence from IMAREX," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 644-659.
  3. Babula, Ronald A. & Bessler, David A. & Reeder, John & Somwaru, Agapi, 2004. "Modeling U.S. Soy-Based Markets with Directed Acyclic Graphs and Time Series Econometrics: Evaluating the U.S. Market Impacts of High Soy Meal Prices," Working Paper ID Series 15885, United States International Trade Commission, Office of Industries.
  4. Babula, Ronald A. & Bessler, David A. & Payne, Warren S., 2003. "Dynamic Relationships Among Selected U.S. Commodity-Based, Value Added Markets: Applying Directed Acyclic Graphs to a Time Series Model," Working Paper ID Series 15879, United States International Trade Commission, Office of Industries.
  5. Babula, Ronald A. & Bessler, David A. & Payne, Warren S., 2004. "Dynamic Relationships Among U.S. Wheat-Related Markets: Applying Directed Acyclic Graphs to a Time Series Model," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(01), April.
  6. Babula, Ronald A. & Bessler, David A. & Reeder, John & Somwaru, Agapi, 2004. "Modeling U.S. Soy-Based Markets with Directed Acyclic Graphs and Bernanke Structural VAR Methods: The Impacts of High Soy Meal and Soybean Prices," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 35(03), November.

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