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Empirical Properties of Foreign Exchange Rates

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  • Richard J Rogalski

    (Darmouth College)

  • Joseph D Vinso

    (University of Pennyslvania)

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    Abstract

    This paper investigates the behavior of foreign exchange rates. Empirical tests indicate that the distribution of the underlying stochastic process for foreign exchange rate changes was stable paretion during fixed rate periods while a Student model provides a relatively better description on floating rates. These findings point to an important direction for further work on the appropriate distribution for foreign exchange rates and estimates of parameters.© 1978 JIBS. Journal of International Business Studies (1978)9, 69–79

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Palgrave Macmillan in its journal Journal of International Business Studies.

    Volume (Year): 9 (1978)
    Issue (Month): 2 (June)
    Pages: 69-79

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    Handle: RePEc:pal:jintbs:v:9:y:1978:i:2:p:69-79

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    Cited by:
    1. Lieu, Derming, 1997. "Estimation of empirical pricing equations for foreign-currency options: Econometric models vs. arbitrage-free models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 259-286.
    2. Reza Siregar & Victor Pontines, 2004. "Successful and Unsuccessful Attacks: Evaluating the Stability of the East Asian Currencies," Centre for International Economic Studies Working Papers 2004-04, University of Adelaide, Centre for International Economic Studies.
    3. Mauleon, Ignacio, 2003. "Financial densities in emerging markets: an application of the multivariate ES density," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 197-223, June.
    4. Huisman, Ronald & Koedijk, Kees & Kool, Clemens & Palm, Franz, 2002. "The tail fatness of FX returns reconsidered," Open Access publications from Maastricht University urn:nbn:nl:ui:27-5769, Maastricht University.
    5. Kaehler, Jürgen, 1993. "On the modelling of speculative prices by stable Paretian distributions and regularly varying tails," ZEW Discussion Papers 93-25, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
    6. Billio, Monica & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2000. "Value-at-Risk: a multivariate switching regime approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(5), pages 531-554, December.
    7. Pontines, Victor & Siregar, Reza, 2007. "The Yen, the US dollar, and the trade weighted basket of currencies: Does the choice of anchor currencies matter in identifying incidences of speculative attacks?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 214-235, March.
    8. Pollock, Andrew C. & Macaulay, Alex & Thomson, Mary E. & Onkal, Dilek, 2005. "Performance evaluation of judgemental directional exchange rate predictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 473-489.
    9. Pozo, Susan & Amuedo-Dorantes, Catalina, 2003. "Statistical distributions and the identification of currency crises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 591-609, August.

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