Evidence of Risk Premiums in Foreign Currency Futures Markets

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Evidence of Risk Premiums in Foreign Currency Futures Markets

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McCurdy, Thomas H
Morgan, Ieuan

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Tom McCurdy

Abstract

Weekly data for foreign currency futures prices are examined for evidence of risk premiums. Covariance risks are measured with respect to the excess returns from benchmark portfolios for consumption and wealth. When the parameters representing the prices of the covariance risks are held constant, no risk premiums are detected. However, when these prices are allowed to vary with the conditional expected returns and variances of the benchmark portfolios, possibly reflecting changing investment opportunities, strong evidence of risk premiums is obtained. Article published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Financial Studies in its journal, The Review of Financial Studies.

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Article provided by Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies in its journal Review of Financial Studies.

Volume (Year): 5 (1992)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 65-83
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Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:5:y:1992:i:1:p:65-83

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Eduardo José Araújo Lima & Benjamin Miranda Tabak, 2008. "Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Relationship between the Random Walk Hypothesis and Official Interventions," Working Papers Series 173, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
Francis , Bill B & Hasan, Iftekhar & Hunter, Delroy M, 2008. "Does hedging tell the full story? Reconciling differences in US aggregate and industry-level exchange rate risk premia," Research Discussion Papers 14/2008, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
Cristino R. Arroyo, 1994. "On The Robustness Of Forward Market Efficiency In Consumption-Based Models Of Exchange Rates," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 8(2), pages 95-114, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
John Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum, 1996. "Time-Varying Risk Premia in the Foreign Currency Futures Basis," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 281., Boston College Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]

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