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Initial Margin Policy and Stochastic Volatility in the Crude Oil Futures Market

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  • Day, Theodore E
  • Lewis, Craig M

Abstract

This article examines the relationship between the volatility of the crude oil futures market and changes in initial margin requirements. To closely match changes in futures market volatility with the corresponding changes in margin requirements, we infer the volatility of the futures market from the prices of crude oil futures options contracts. Using a mean-reverting diffusion process for volatility, we show that changes in margin policy do not affect subsequent market volatility. Article published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Financial Studies in its journal, The Review of Financial Studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Day, Theodore E & Lewis, Craig M, 1997. "Initial Margin Policy and Stochastic Volatility in the Crude Oil Futures Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(2), pages 303-332.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:10:y:1997:i:2:p:303-32
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    Cited by:

    1. Apostolos Serletis & Asghar Shahmoradi, 2007. "Returns and Volatility in the NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures Market," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Quantitative And Empirical Analysis Of Energy Markets, chapter 15, pages 193-204, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "What Happens when Peter can't Pay Paul: Risk Management at Futures Exchange Clearinghouses," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21087, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    4. Paul Kupiec, 1998. "Margin Requirements, Volatility, and Market Integrity: What Have We Learned Since the Crash?," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 13(3), pages 231-255, June.
    5. Stan Miles, 2013. "Constant-collateral pyramiding trading strategies in futures markets," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 27(4), pages 381-396, December.
    6. Michael Grill & Karl Schmedders & Felix Kubler & Johannes Brumm, 2012. "Margin Requirements and Asset Prices," 2012 Meeting Papers 533, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Tibor Neugebauer & Sascha Füllbrunn, 2013. "Deflating Bubbles in Experimental Asset Markets: Comparative Statics of Margin Regulations," LSF Research Working Paper Series 13-14, Luxembourg School of Finance, University of Luxembourg.
    8. Alexander Brunhuemer & Lukas Larcher & Philipp Seidl & Sascha Desmettre & Johannes Kofler & Gerhard Larcher, 2022. "Supervised machine learning classification for short straddles on the S&P500," Papers 2204.13587, arXiv.org.
    9. Alexander, Carol & Kaeck, Andreas & Sumawong, Anannit, 2019. "A parsimonious parametric model for generating margin requirements for futures," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(1), pages 31-43.
    10. Sascha Füllbrunn & Tibor Neugebauer, 2012. "Margin Trading Bans in Experimental Asset Markets," Jena Economics Research Papers 2012-058, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.

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