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Rich State, Poor State, Red State, Blue State: What's the Matter with Connecticut?

Author

Listed:
  • Gelman, Andrew
  • Shor, Boris
  • Bafumi, Joseph
  • Park, David

Abstract

For decades, the Democrats have been viewed as the party of the poor, with the Republicans representing the rich. Recent presidential elections, however, have shown a reverse pattern, with Democrats performing well in the richer blue states in the northeast and coasts, and Republicans dominating in the red states in the middle of the country and the south. Through multilevel modeling of individuallevel survey data and county- and state-level demographic and electoral data, we reconcile these patterns.

Suggested Citation

  • Gelman, Andrew & Shor, Boris & Bafumi, Joseph & Park, David, 2008. "Rich State, Poor State, Red State, Blue State: What's the Matter with Connecticut?," Quarterly Journal of Political Science, now publishers, vol. 2(4), pages 345-367, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:now:jlqjps:100.00006026
    DOI: 10.1561/100.00006026
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Joseph McMurray, 2017. "Ideology as Opinion: A Spatial Model of Common-Value Elections," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 108-140, November.
    2. Winzar, Hume, 2015. "The ecological fallacy: How to spot one and tips on how to use one to your advantage," Australasian marketing journal, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 86-92.
    3. M. Pittau & Roberto Zelli & Andrew Gelman, 2010. "Economic Disparities and Life Satisfaction in European Regions," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 96(2), pages 339-361, April.
    4. Christopher Claassen & Richard Traunmüller, 2020. "Improving and Validating Survey Estimates of Religious Demography Using Bayesian Multilevel Models and Poststratification," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 49(3), pages 603-636, August.
    5. Eduardo Minuci & Scott Schuh, 2022. "Are West Virginia Banks Unique?," Working Papers 22-03, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
    6. Stefan Krasa & Mattias Polborn, 2012. "Elites or Masses? A Structural Model of Policy Divergence, Voter Sorting and Apparent Polarization in U.S. Presidential Elections, 1972-2008," CESifo Working Paper Series 3752, CESifo.
    7. Stefan Krasa & Mattias Polborn, 2014. "Policy Divergence and Voter Polarization in a Structural Model of Elections," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(1), pages 31-76.

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