IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v13y2022i1d10.1038_s41467-022-33107-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Holocene seasonal temperature evolution and spatial variability over the Northern Hemisphere landmass

Author

Listed:
  • Wenchao Zhang

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    China University of Geosciences (Beijing))

  • Haibin Wu

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    CAS Center for Excellence in Life and Paleoenvironment
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Jun Cheng

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Junyan Geng

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Qin Li

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Liaoning Normal University)

  • Yong Sun

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Yanyan Yu

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Huayu Lu

    (Nanjing University)

  • Zhengtang Guo

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    CAS Center for Excellence in Life and Paleoenvironment
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

The origin of the temperature divergence between Holocene proxy reconstructions and model simulations remains controversial, but it possibly results from potential biases in the seasonality of reconstructions or in the climate sensitivity of models. Here we present an extensive dataset of Holocene seasonal temperatures reconstructed using 1310 pollen records covering the Northern Hemisphere landmass. Our results indicate that both summer and winter temperatures warmed from the early to mid-Holocene (~11–7 ka BP) and then cooled thereafter, but with significant spatial variability. Strong early Holocene warming trend occurred mainly in Europe, eastern North America and northern Asia, which can be generally captured by model simulations and is likely associated with the retreat of continental ice sheets. The subsequent cooling trend is pervasively recorded except for northern Asia and southeastern North America, which may reflect the cross-seasonal impact of the decreasing summer insolation through climatic feedbacks, but the cooling in winter season is not well reproduced by climate models. Our results challenge the proposal that seasonal biases in proxies are the main origin of model–data discrepancies and highlight the critical impact of insolation and associated feedbacks on temperature changes, which warrant closer attention in future climate modelling.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenchao Zhang & Haibin Wu & Jun Cheng & Junyan Geng & Qin Li & Yong Sun & Yanyan Yu & Huayu Lu & Zhengtang Guo, 2022. "Holocene seasonal temperature evolution and spatial variability over the Northern Hemisphere landmass," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-33107-0
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-33107-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-33107-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-022-33107-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jürgen Bader & Johann Jungclaus & Natalie Krivova & Stephan Lorenz & Amanda Maycock & Thomas Raddatz & Hauke Schmidt & Matthew Toohey & Chi-Ju Wu & Martin Claussen, 2020. "Global temperature modes shed light on the Holocene temperature conundrum," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-8, December.
    2. Jeremiah Marsicek & Bryan N. Shuman & Patrick J. Bartlein & Sarah L. Shafer & Simon Brewer, 2018. "Reconciling divergent trends and millennial variations in Holocene temperatures," Nature, Nature, vol. 554(7690), pages 92-96, February.
    3. Samantha Bova & Yair Rosenthal & Zhengyu Liu & Shital P. Godad & Mi Yan, 2021. "Seasonal origin of the thermal maxima at the Holocene and the last interglacial," Nature, Nature, vol. 589(7843), pages 548-553, January.
    4. Nico Wunderling & Matteo Willeit & Jonathan F. Donges & Ricarda Winkelmann, 2020. "Global warming due to loss of large ice masses and Arctic summer sea ice," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-8, December.
    5. Jeremy D. Shakun & Peter U. Clark & Feng He & Shaun A. Marcott & Alan C. Mix & Zhengyu Liu & Bette Otto-Bliesner & Andreas Schmittner & Edouard Bard, 2012. "Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation," Nature, Nature, vol. 484(7392), pages 49-54, April.
    6. Hyo-Seok Park & Seong-Joong Kim & Kyong-Hwan Seo & Andrew L. Stewart & Seo-Yeon Kim & Seok-Woo Son, 2018. "The impact of Arctic sea ice loss on mid-Holocene climate," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    7. Xu Zhang & Fahu Chen, 2021. "Non-trivial role of internal climate feedback on interglacial temperature evolution," Nature, Nature, vol. 600(7887), pages 1-3, December.
    8. Cody C. Routson & Nicholas P. McKay & Darrell S. Kaufman & Michael P. Erb & Hugues Goosse & Bryan N. Shuman & Jessica R. Rodysill & Toby Ault, 2019. "Mid-latitude net precipitation decreased with Arctic warming during the Holocene," Nature, Nature, vol. 568(7750), pages 83-87, April.
    9. Chad W. Thackeray & Alex Hall, 2019. "An emergent constraint on future Arctic sea-ice albedo feedback," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(12), pages 972-978, December.
    10. Ulrike Herzschuh & Xianyong Cao & Thomas Laepple & Anne Dallmeyer & Richard J. Telford & Jian Ni & Fahu Chen & Zhaochen Kong & Guangxiu Liu & Kam-Biu Liu & Xingqi Liu & Martina Stebich & Lingyu Tang &, 2019. "Position and orientation of the westerly jet determined Holocene rainfall patterns in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-8, December.
    11. Pascale Braconnot & Sandy P. Harrison & Masa Kageyama & Patrick J. Bartlein & Valerie Masson-Delmotte & Ayako Abe-Ouchi & Bette Otto-Bliesner & Yan Zhao, 2012. "Evaluation of climate models using palaeoclimatic data," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(6), pages 417-424, June.
    12. Matthew B. Osman & Jessica E. Tierney & Jiang Zhu & Robert Tardif & Gregory J. Hakim & Jonathan King & Christopher J. Poulsen, 2021. "Globally resolved surface temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum," Nature, Nature, vol. 599(7884), pages 239-244, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jiawei Jiang & Bowen Meng & Huanye Wang & Hu Liu & Mu Song & Yuxin He & Cheng Zhao & Jun Cheng & Guoqiang Chu & Sergey Krivonogov & Weiguo Liu & Zhonghui Liu, 2024. "Spatial patterns of Holocene temperature changes over mid-latitude Eurasia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    2. Lixiong Xiang & Xiaozhong Huang & Mingjie Sun & Virginia N. Panizzo & Chong Huang & Min Zheng & Xuemei Chen & Fahu Chen, 2023. "Prehistoric population expansion in Central Asia promoted by the Altai Holocene Climatic Optimum," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Olivier Cartapanis & Lukas Jonkers & Paola Moffa-Sanchez & Samuel L. Jaccard & Anne Vernal, 2022. "Complex spatio-temporal structure of the Holocene Thermal Maximum," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Yajie Dong & Naiqin Wu & Fengjiang Li & Dan Zhang & Yueting Zhang & Caiming Shen & Houyuan Lu, 2022. "The Holocene temperature conundrum answered by mollusk records from East Asia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    3. Jiawei Jiang & Bowen Meng & Huanye Wang & Hu Liu & Mu Song & Yuxin He & Cheng Zhao & Jun Cheng & Guoqiang Chu & Sergey Krivonogov & Weiguo Liu & Zhonghui Liu, 2024. "Spatial patterns of Holocene temperature changes over mid-latitude Eurasia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Lixiong Xiang & Xiaozhong Huang & Mingjie Sun & Virginia N. Panizzo & Chong Huang & Min Zheng & Xuemei Chen & Fahu Chen, 2023. "Prehistoric population expansion in Central Asia promoted by the Altai Holocene Climatic Optimum," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    5. Yancheng Zhang & Xufeng Zheng & Deming Kong & Hong Yan & Zhonghui Liu, 2021. "Enhanced North Pacific subtropical gyre circulation during the late Holocene," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    6. Anne Dallmeyer & Thomas Kleinen & Martin Claussen & Nils Weitzel & Xianyong Cao & Ulrike Herzschuh, 2022. "The deglacial forest conundrum," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Rashit M. Hantemirov & Christophe Corona & Sébastien Guillet & Stepan G. Shiyatov & Markus Stoffel & Timothy J. Osborn & Thomas M. Melvin & Ludmila A. Gorlanova & Vladimir V. Kukarskih & Alexander Y. , 2022. "Current Siberian heating is unprecedented during the past seven millennia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    8. M. H. Løland & Y. Krüger & A. Fernandez & F. Buckingham & S. A. Carolin & H. Sodemann & J. F. Adkins & K. M. Cobb & A. N. Meckler, 2022. "Evolution of tropical land temperature across the last glacial termination," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-7, December.
    9. Shuai Zhang & Zhoufei Yu & Yue Wang & Xun Gong & Ann Holbourn & Fengming Chang & Heng Liu & Xuhua Cheng & Tiegang Li, 2022. "Thermal coupling of the Indo-Pacific warm pool and Southern Ocean over the past 30,000 years," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    10. Solomon Hsiang & Robert E. Kopp, 2018. "An Economist's Guide to Climate Change Science," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 32(4), pages 3-32, Fall.
    11. Yuanfang Chai & Yao Yue & Louise J. Slater & Jiabo Yin & Alistair G. L. Borthwick & Tiexi Chen & Guojie Wang, 2022. "Constrained CMIP6 projections indicate less warming and a slower increase in water availability across Asia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    12. Thanh Le & Deg-Hyo Bae, 2013. "Evaluating the Utility of IPCC AR4 GCMs for Hydrological Application in South Korea," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(9), pages 3227-3246, July.
    13. Granville Tunnicliffe Wilson & John Haywood & Lynda Petherick, 2022. "Modeling cycles and interdependence in irregularly sampled geophysical time series," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), March.
    14. Inmaculada Carrasco & Juan Sebastián Castillo-Valero & Carmen Córcoles & Marcos Carchano, 2021. "Greening Wine Exports? Changes in the Carbon Footprint of Spanish Wine Exports," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(17), pages 1-13, August.
    15. Heather M. Stoll & Isabel Cacho & Edward Gasson & Jakub Sliwinski & Oliver Kost & Ana Moreno & Miguel Iglesias & Judit Torner & Carlos Perez-Mejias & Negar Haghipour & Hai Cheng & R. Lawrence Edwards, 2022. "Rapid northern hemisphere ice sheet melting during the penultimate deglaciation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-16, December.
    16. Pranav P. Sharma & Xiao‐Dong Zhou, 2017. "Electrocatalytic conversion of carbon dioxide to fuels: a review on the interaction between CO2 and the liquid electrolyte," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(4), July.
    17. Marco Grasso, 2022. "Legitimacy and procedural justice: how might stratospheric aerosol injection function in the public interest?," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    18. Si Woo Lee & Mauricio Lopez Luna & Nikolay Berdunov & Weiming Wan & Sebastian Kunze & Shamil Shaikhutdinov & Beatriz Roldan Cuenya, 2023. "Unraveling surface structures of gallium promoted transition metal catalysts in CO2 hydrogenation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-7, December.
    19. Zhen Wang & Xiaokang Liu & Haichao Xie & Shengqian Chen & Jianhui Chen & Haipeng Wang & Meihong Ma & Fahu Chen, 2024. "Time-Transgressive Onset of Holocene Climate Optimum in Arid Central Asia and Its Association with Cultural Exchanges," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-18, March.
    20. Bo Tan & Chengbang An & Chao Lu & Lei Tang & Lai Jiang, 2023. "The Suitability of Prehistoric Human Settlements from the Perspective of the Residents," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-21, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-33107-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.