IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mth/ijssr8/v4y2016i1p137-150.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Relationship between Democracy and Economic Growth in Tunisia: An Application of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model

Author

Listed:
  • Lamia Arfaoui
  • Azza Ziadi
  • Sonia Manai

Abstract

This paper aims to identify the nature of the relationship between democracy and economic growth. We will answer the question: Does democracy improve economic growth? We study the case of Tunisia during the period from 1980 until 2014; this country has experienced a democratic transition after the revolution of 14 th January 2011. Our study is divided into two parts. The first part is a literature review of overview on the causality between democracy and economic growth. The second part as an application uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL). The choice of the technical SARL aimed the study of the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between two variables in level, a procedure co-integration has been proposed by Pesaran et al (2001). The results of different empirical studies were inconclusive. Some generated a negative impact of democracy on growth while others showed the opposite. The empirical results of our work have shown that in a nascent democracy such is the case of Tunisia; democracy has no effect on economic growth in the short term. It is to add an observation rate of GDP during the period post -revolution generated a sawtooth trend which demonstrates the unstable economic situation in the country.

Suggested Citation

  • Lamia Arfaoui & Azza Ziadi & Sonia Manai, 2016. "The Relationship between Democracy and Economic Growth in Tunisia: An Application of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model," International Journal of Social Science Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 4(1), pages 137-150, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:mth:ijssr8:v:4:y:2016:i:1:p:137-150
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.macrothink.org/journal/index.php/ijssr/article/view/8870/7448
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.macrothink.org/journal/index.php/ijssr/article/view/8870
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ozler, Sule & Rodrik, Dani, 1992. "External shocks, politics and private investment : Some theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 141-162, July.
    2. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2011. "Does democracy facilitate economic growth or does economic growth facilitate democracy? An empirical study of Sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 900-910, May.
    3. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    4. Takaaki Masaki & Nicolas van de Walle, 2014. "The Impact of Democracy on Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1982-2012," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2014-057, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Aisen, Ari & Veiga, Francisco José, 2013. "How does political instability affect economic growth?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 151-167.
    6. Knutsen, Carl Henrik, 2013. "Democracy, State Capacity, and Economic Growth," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-18.
    7. Masih, A. Mansur M. & Masih, Rumi, 2002. "Propagative causal price transmission among international stock markets: evidence from the pre- and postglobalization period," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 63-91.
    8. Gründler, Klaus & Krieger, Tommy, 2015. "Democracy and growth: Evidence from SVMDI indices," Discussion Paper Series 131, Julius Maximilian University of Würzburg, Chair of Economic Order and Social Policy.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Brieger Stefan & Markwardt Gunther, 2020. "The Democracy–Economy-Nexus," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 71(2), pages 135-167, August.
    2. Daniel Sakyi & Samuel Adams, 2012. "Democracy, Government Spending and Economic Growth: The Case of Ghana, 1960–2008," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 6(3), pages 361-383, August.
    3. James B. Ang, 2010. "Determinants Of Private Investment In Malaysia: What Causes The Postcrisis Slumps?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 28(3), pages 378-391, July.
    4. Amaia Altuzarra & Catalina Gálvez-Gálvez & Ana González-Flores, 2021. "Is Gender Inequality a Barrier to Economic Growth? A Panel Data Analysis of Developing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-21, January.
    5. Madsen, Jakob B. & Raschky, Paul A. & Skali, Ahmed, 2015. "Does democracy drive income in the world, 1500–2000?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 175-195.
    6. Liang, Xuefang & Qianqian, Ding & Tanai, Breshna & Shinwari, Riazullah, 2023. "On the conflict of natural resources hypothesis in Pakistan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    7. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Mishra, Sagarika, 2013. "Has the structural break slowed down growth rates of stock markets?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 595-601.
    8. Nazeer, Abdul Malik & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Impact of political instability on foreign direct investment and Economic Growth: Evidence from Malaysia," MPRA Paper 79418, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Tobechi F. Agbanike & Anayochukwu Basil Chukwu & Mary J. Eteng & Hycenth O.R. Ogwuru & Lasbrey I. Anochiwa & Anuli R. Ogbuagu & Nnamdi C. Nwaeze & Sunday A. Okwor & Clara K. Anyanwu, 2022. "Political Environment and the Use of Energy Resources in Nigeria," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(4), pages 342-349, July.
    10. Eunice Adu-Darko & Emmanuel K Aidoo, 2022. "Government Stability in the Remittance-Economic Growth Link in Ghana," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14.
    11. Marashdeh, Hazem, 2005. "Stock Market Integration in the MENA Region: An Application of the ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Economics Working Papers wp05-27, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
    12. Sotiris K. Papaioannou, 2020. "Political Instability and Economic Growth at Different Stages of Economic Development: historical evidence from Greece," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 151, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
    13. John A Doces, 2020. "Democracy, consumption, and growth in sub-Saharan Africa," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 23(1), pages 28-48, March.
    14. Akçay Selçuk & Karasoy Alper, 2020. "Determinants of private investments in Turkey: Examining the role of democracy," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(1), pages 23-49, March.
    15. Adom, Philip Kofi, 2016. "The DDT Effect: The case of Economic Growth, Public Debt and Democracy Relationship," MPRA Paper 75022, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Nov 2016.
    16. Terungwa Paul Joseph Jato, Ph.D & Joyce Mbakosun Ayaga, 2022. "External Economic Shocks and Monetary Policy Tools in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 6(7), pages 110-119, July.
    17. Mohamed Maher & Yanzhi Zhao, 2022. "Do Political Instability and Military Expenditure Undermine Economic Growth in Egypt? Evidence from the ARDL Approach," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(8), pages 956-979, November.
    18. Opoku, Eric Evans Osei & Acheampong, Alex O., 2023. "Energy justice and economic growth: Does democracy matter?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 160-186.
    19. Ranjan Dasgupta, 2017. "Association of South-East Asian Nations-US Stock Market Associations in and Around US 2007-09 Financial Crisis: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Application for Policy Implications," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 684-705.
    20. Jailani, Mohamad Zaky & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Determining the relationship between financial development and economic growth: An application of ARDL technique to Singapore," MPRA Paper 65847, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mth:ijssr8:v:4:y:2016:i:1:p:137-150. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Technical Support Office (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.macrothink.org/journal/index.php/ijssr .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.