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Futures Market Sentiment and Institutional Investor Behavior in the Spot Market: The Emerging Market in Taiwan

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  • Jin-Shuei Luo
  • Chun-An Li

Abstract

This paper investigates whether and how futures market sentiment and stock market returns heterogeneously affect the trading activities of institutional investors in the spot market in Taiwan. Our empirical results suggest that foreign investors are net sellers whenever futures market sentiment is bullish and net buyers when investor sentiment is bearish. The two types of domestic institutional investors have poor sentiment timing abilities and the price-pressure effect may account for the behavioral differences among institutional investors. In addition, all three institutional investors are momentum traders. Nevertheless, the momentum trading of foreigners is consistent with an information-based model and that of two local institutional investors, as behavior-based models suggest. This indicates that the same trading momentum strategy can lead to different outcomes for different investors, and both information- and behavior-based momentum trading can exist contemporaneously in the Taiwanese stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Jin-Shuei Luo & Chun-An Li, 2008. "Futures Market Sentiment and Institutional Investor Behavior in the Spot Market: The Emerging Market in Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 70-86, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:44:y:2008:i:2:p:70-86
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chien, Cheng-Yi & Lee, Hsiu-Chuan & Tai, Shih-Wen & Liao, Tzu-Hsiang, 2013. "Information, hedging demand, and institutional investors: Evidence from the Taiwan Futures Exchange," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 394-414.
    2. Kim, Soo-Hyun & Kang, Hyoung-Goo, 2015. "Tactical Asset Allocation Using Investors' Sentiment," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 56(2), pages 177-195, December.
    3. Juan Carlos Matallín-Sáez & Amparo Soler-Domínguez & Emili Tortosa-Ausina, 2019. "Does active management add value? New evidence from a quantile regression approach," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 70(10), pages 1734-1751, October.
    4. Chun-Da Chen & Alex YiHou Huang & Chih-Chun Chen, 2011. "The Effects of Abolishing a Foreign Institutional Investment Quota in Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(2), pages 74-98, March.
    5. Ming-Feng Hsu & Kehluh Wang, 2014. "The Level and Stability of Institutional Ownership and Firm Performance: Evidence from Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(2S), pages 159-173, March.
    6. Ming-Feng Hsu & Kehluh Wang, 2014. "The Level and Stability of Institutional Ownership and Firm Performance: Evidence from Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(S2), pages 159-173.
    7. Yensen Ni & Yulu Liao & Paoyu Huang, 2017. "Foreign Institutional Investors, Shareholding Change, and Corporate Governance," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(4), pages 764-775, April.
    8. Rafał Wolski & Monika Bolek & Jerzy Gajdka & Janusz Brzeszczyński & Ali M. Kutan, 2023. "Do investment fund managers behave rationally in the light of central bank communication? Survey evidence from Poland," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(5), pages 757-794, February.
    9. Chen, Mei-Ping & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Hsu, Yi-Chung, 2017. "Investor sentiment and country exchange traded funds: Does economic freedom matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 285-299.
    10. Yan-Ting Lin & Shang-Chi Gong & Sou-Shan Wu & Tsung-Pei Lee, 2012. "E/P Mean Reversion-Based Strategies for Investment Practice: Evidence from the Taiwan Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 117-131, January.
    11. J. Carlos Matallín-Sáez & Amparo Soler-Domínguez & Emili Tortosa-Ausina, 2013. "Does active management add value? New evidence from a quantile regression," Working Papers 2013/01, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    12. Atilgan, Yigit & Demirtas, K. Ozgur & Simsek, Koray D., 2016. "Derivative markets in emerging economies: A survey," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 88-102.
    13. Yu Chuan Huang & Shu Hui Chan, 2010. "Trading Behavior on Expiration Days and Quarter-End Days: The Effect of a New Closing Method," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(4), pages 105-125, January.

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