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Can Monetary Stabilization Policy Be Improved by CPI Futures Targeting? A Comment

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Author Info
Garrison, Roger W
White, Lawrence H

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Abstract

Scott Sumner (and similarly Kevin Dowd) proposes to have the central bank write futures contracts on the Consumer Price Index, and automatically adjust the money stock in response to the public's net position in such contracts, as a way of improving the precision and credibility of monetary policy. The authors identify two serious problems that can be expected to render Sumner's proposal ineffective: (1) the public has no incentive to take a speculative position in the contracts until it is too late to adjust the money stock and (2) the central bank lacks an effective budget constraint. Copyright 1997 by Ohio State University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 29 (1997)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 535-41
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:535-41

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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  1. J. S. Ferris & J. A. Galbraith, 2003. "Indirect convertibility as a money rule for inflation targeting," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(10), pages 753-761, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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