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Savings, Commodity Market Rationing, and the Real Rate of Interest in China

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Author Info
Feltenstein, Andrew
Lebow, David
van Wijnbergen, Sweder

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Abstract

This paper uses an intertemporal, disequilibrium framework to analyze the rapid increase in personal savings that has taken place in China since 1979. A theoretical model of savings behavior under rationing is developed, and a specification of a "virtual" price index is derived. The virtual price index is then used to estimate certain savings functions, and is found to explain the data better than official price indices. When savings are allowed to depend on real interest rates, defined in terms of the virtual price index, a negative and significant interest rate effect on consumption is found. Using official prices these results no longer hold. Copyright 1990 by Ohio State University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 22 (1990)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 234-52
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:22:y:1990:i:2:p:234-52

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  1. Richard Portes & Anita Santorum, 1988. "Money and the Consumption Goods Market in China," NBER Working Papers 2143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Denizer, Cevdet & Wolf, Holger C. & Ying, Yvonne, 2000. "Household savings in transition economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2299, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. Thorne, Alfredo, 1992. "Issues in reforming financial systems in Eastern Europe : the case of Bulgaria," Policy Research Working Paper Series 882, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  4. Lars E.O. Svensson & Sweder van Wijnbergen, 1990. "Excess Capacity, Monopolistic Competition, and International Transmission of Monetary Disturbances," NBER Working Papers 2262, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Shulian Zhang, 2005. "Consumption Behaviour Under Institutional Transitions in China," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 189, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
  6. Yin Zhang & Guang Hua Wan, 2004. "Liquidity constraint, uncertainty and household consumption in China," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(19), pages 2221-2229, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Andrew Feltenstein & Saleh M. Nsouli, 2001. ""Big Bang" Versus Gradualism in Economic Reforms: An Intertemporal Analysis with an Application to China," IMF Working Papers 01/98, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  8. Guy Shaojia Liu & Haiyan Song, 2003. "A Dual-Price Demand Theory for Economies under Transition," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 185-203, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Wen-Jen Hsieh & Yu Hsing, 1994. "Tests Of Nonlinear Consumption Functions: The Case Of Korea, Taiwan, Thailand And India," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 8(2), pages 71-81, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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