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On Nonlinear Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth: A Study of ASEAN-5 Countries Period 2000–2016

Author

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  • Ambar Galih

    (Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics dan Business, Universitas Indonesia)

  • Sugiharso Safuan

    (Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics dan Business, Universitas Indonesia)

Abstract

Money (inflation) has played a vital role in economic growth. However, the nexus between them has always drawn mesmerizing debates. From the thoughts of Classical and Keynes which argued the existence of money neutrality, to the level of empirical studies which find either positive or negative correlation between inflation and economic growth. Recent studies concerning the debatable relationship have evolved it into a hypothesis whether the relation is nonlinear with a threshold or a point where the link switches. This study aims to re-examine the causality between inflation and economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries period 2000Q1–2016Q4. The results based on Threshold Vector Autoregression model indicate the presence of a nonlinear relationship between the two variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Ambar Galih & Sugiharso Safuan, 2017. "On Nonlinear Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth: A Study of ASEAN-5 Countries Period 2000–2016," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 63, pages 1-12, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:lpe:efijnl:201701
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Adam Luthfi Kusumatrisna & Iman Sugema & Syamsul H. Pasaribu, 2022. "Threshold Effect In The Relationship Between Inflation Rate And Economic Growth In Indonesia," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(1), pages 117-132, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    threshold; inflation; economic growth; threshold VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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