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Imputing trip purposes for long-distance travel

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  • Yijing Lu
  • Lei Zhang

Abstract

Planning and policy analysis at the national, state and inter-regional corridor levels depends on reliable information and forecasts about long-distance travel. Emerging passive data collection technologies such as GPS, smartphones, and social media provide the opportunity for researchers and practitioners to potentially supplement or replace traditional long-distance travel surveys. However, certain important trip information, such as trip purpose, travel mode, and travelers’ socio-demographic characteristics, is missing from passively collected travel data. One promising solution to this data issue is to impute the missing information based on supplementary data (e.g., land use) and advanced statistical or data mining algorithms. This paper develops machine learning methods, including decision tree and meta-learning, to estimate trip purposes for long-distance passenger travel. A passively collected long-distance trip dataset is simulated from the 1995 American Travel Survey for the development and validation of the machine learning methods. The predictive accuracy of the proposed methods is evaluated for several scenarios varying with trip purposes and the extent of data availability as inputs. This research design will provide not only a practically useful approach for long-distance trip purpose imputation, but also generate valuable insights for future long-distance travel surveys. Results show that the accuracy of the trip purpose imputation methods based on all available data decreases from 95 % with two purposes (business and non-business) to 77 % with four purposes (business, personal business, social visit, and leisure). Based on a two-purpose scheme, the predictive accuracy of the imputation algorithms decreases from 95 % when all input data is used (a full-information model), to 72 % with a minimum information model that only utilizes the passively collected data. If traveler’s socio-demographic characteristics are available (possibly through other imputation models), the predictive accuracy only decreases from 95 to 91 %. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Yijing Lu & Lei Zhang, 2015. "Imputing trip purposes for long-distance travel," Transportation, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 581-595, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:42:y:2015:i:4:p:581-595
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-015-9595-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lei Zhang & Frank Southworth & Chenfeng Xiong & Anthon Sonnenberg, 2012. "Methodological Options and Data Sources for the Development of Long-Distance Passenger Travel Demand Models: A Comprehensive Review," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 399-433, April.
    2. Chen, Cynthia & Gong, Hongmian & Lawson, Catherine & Bialostozky, Evan, 2010. "Evaluating the feasibility of a passive travel survey collection in a complex urban environment: Lessons learned from the New York City case study," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 44(10), pages 830-840, December.
    3. Du, Jianhe & Aultman-Hall, Lisa, 2007. "Increasing the accuracy of trip rate information from passive multi-day GPS travel datasets: Automatic trip end identification issues," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 220-232, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yun Wang & Xuedong Yan & Yu Zhou & Qingwan Xue, 2017. "Influencing Mechanism of Potential Factors on Passengers’ Long-Distance Travel Mode Choices Based on Structural Equation Modeling," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-22, October.
    2. Krause, Cory M. & Zhang, Lei, 2019. "Short-term travel behavior prediction with GPS, land use, and point of interest data," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 349-361.

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