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Are Event-Splitting Effects Actually Boundary Effects?

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  • Humphrey, Steven J

Abstract

An event-splitting effect (ESE) occurs when an event, which yields a positive outcome in one lottery but zero under another, is separated into two sub-events and this increases the relative attractiveness of the former lottery. ESEs are attributed to either (1) a preference for more positive outcomes in lotteries, or (2) an aversion to more zero outcomes. An experiment is reported which replicates ESEs whilst controlling for explanation (2). This favours explanation (1), but a lack of generality in replication suggests previous ESEs to be partially due to (2). Implications are discussed for a related choice phenomena, decision theory, and real-world decision-making. Copyright 2001 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Suggested Citation

  • Humphrey, Steven J, 2001. "Are Event-Splitting Effects Actually Boundary Effects?," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 79-93, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrisku:v:22:y:2001:i:1:p:79-93
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    Cited by:

    1. Aurélien Baillon & Han Bleichrodt & Alessandra Cillo, 2015. "A Tailor-Made Test of Intransitive Choice," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 63(1), pages 198-211, February.
    2. Bethany Weber, 2007. "The effects of losses and event splitting on the Allais paradox," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 2, pages 115-125, April.
    3. Ostermair, Christoph, 2022. "An experimental investigation of the Allais paradox with subjective probabilities and correlated outcomes," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    4. Peter Moffatt & Stefania Sitzia & Daniel Zizzo, 2015. "Heterogeneity in preferences towards complexity," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 147-170, October.
    5. Ulrich Schmidt & Christian Seidl, 2014. "Reconsidering the common ratio effect: the roles of compound independence, reduction, and coalescing," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 77(3), pages 323-339, October.
    6. repec:cup:judgdm:v:2:y:2007:i::p:115-125 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Kontek, Krzysztof & Birnbaum, Michael H., 2019. "The impact of middle outcomes on lottery valuations," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 30-44.

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