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Desempeño del comercio internacional y crecimiento económico en México

Author

Listed:
  • Almagro-Vázquez, Francisco

    (ESE-IPN)

  • Durán-Ruvalcaba, Marco A.

    (Chapingo)

Abstract

El comercio internacional de México con el resto del mundo es un elemento básico del desempeño de su economía. En los últimos veinte años se ha producido una apertura al exterior de significativa importancia. La teoría que sustenta esta investigación es la denominada ley de Thirlwall, cuyo enunciado plantea: “el saldo comercial desfavorable de la cuenta corriente de la balanza de pagos es una restricción al crecimiento de la economía”, el objetivo de esta investigación propone exponer un problema estructural que presenta el comercio internacional de México, relacionado con la concentración de las exportaciones en el mercado de Estados Unidos, asimismo se incluyen dos deficiencias estructurales de mucha importancia vinculadas a la evolución de las importaciones y las exportaciones, que afectan sensiblemente la dinámica favorable del PIB. A su vez, se incluyen sugerencias para mejorar las deficiencias señaladas. Por último se demuestra la vigencia de la referida ley en el comercio exterior de México utilizando un modelo de absorción interna.

Suggested Citation

  • Almagro-Vázquez, Francisco & Durán-Ruvalcaba, Marco A., 2019. "Desempeño del comercio internacional y crecimiento económico en México," eseconomía, Escuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, vol. 14(51), pages 109-133, Segundo s.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipn:esecon:v:14:y:2019:i:51:p:109-133
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anthony P. Thirlwall, 2011. "The Balance of Payments Constraint as an Explanation of International Growth Rate Differences," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 64(259), pages 429-438.
    2. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    comercio exterior; problemas estructurales; producto interno bruto.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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