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MNL-Bandit: A Dynamic Learning Approach to Assortment Selection

Author

Listed:
  • Shipra Agrawal

    (Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Fu Foundation School of Engineering and Applied Science, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027)

  • Vashist Avadhanula

    (Decision, Risk, and Operations Division, Columbia Business School, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027)

  • Vineet Goyal

    (Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Fu Foundation School of Engineering and Applied Science, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027)

  • Assaf Zeevi

    (Decision, Risk, and Operations Division, Columbia Business School, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027)

Abstract

We consider a dynamic assortment selection problem where in every round the retailer offers a subset (assortment) of N substitutable products to a consumer, who selects one of these products according to a multinomial logit (MNL) choice model. The retailer observes this choice, and the objective is to dynamically learn the model parameters while optimizing cumulative revenues over a selling horizon of length T . We refer to this exploration–exploitation formulation as the MNL-Bandit problem . Existing methods for this problem follow an explore-then-exploit approach, which estimates parameters to a desired accuracy and then, treating these estimates as if they are the correct parameter values, offers the optimal assortment based on these estimates. These approaches require certain a priori knowledge of “separability,” determined by the true parameters of the underlying MNL model, and this in turn is critical in determining the length of the exploration period. (Separability refers to the distinguishability of the true optimal assortment from the other suboptimal alternatives.) In this paper, we give an efficient algorithm that simultaneously explores and exploits, without a priori knowledge of any problem parameters. Furthermore, the algorithm is adaptive in the sense that its performance is near optimal in the “well-separated” case as well as the general parameter setting where this separation need not hold.

Suggested Citation

  • Shipra Agrawal & Vashist Avadhanula & Vineet Goyal & Assaf Zeevi, 2019. "MNL-Bandit: A Dynamic Learning Approach to Assortment Selection," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 1453-1485, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:67:y:2019:i:5:p:1453-1485
    DOI: opre.2018.1832
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Xi Chen & Chao Shi & Yining Wang & Yuan Zhou, 2021. "Dynamic Assortment Planning Under Nested Logit Models," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(1), pages 85-102, January.
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    3. Dipankar Das, 2023. "A Model of Competitive Assortment Planning Algorithm," Papers 2307.09479, arXiv.org.
    4. Ilai Bistritz & Amir Leshem, 2021. "Game of Thrones: Fully Distributed Learning for Multiplayer Bandits," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(1), pages 159-178, February.
    5. Yining Wang & Xi Chen & Xiangyu Chang & Dongdong Ge, 2021. "Uncertainty Quantification for Demand Prediction in Contextual Dynamic Pricing," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(6), pages 1703-1717, June.
    6. Agrawal, Priyank & Tulabandhula, Theja & Avadhanula, Vashist, 2023. "A tractable online learning algorithm for the multinomial logit contextual bandit," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 310(2), pages 737-750.
    7. Hamsa Bastani & Mohsen Bayati & Khashayar Khosravi, 2021. "Mostly Exploration-Free Algorithms for Contextual Bandits," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(3), pages 1329-1349, March.
    8. Nathan Kallus & Madeleine Udell, 2020. "Dynamic Assortment Personalization in High Dimensions," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 1020-1037, July.
    9. Kris Johnson Ferreira & Joel Goh, 2021. "Assortment Rotation and the Value of Concealment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(3), pages 1489-1507, March.

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