IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/oropre/v58y2010i5p1350-1363.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Competition and Cooperation in a Two-Stage Supply Chain with Demand Forecasts

Author

Listed:
  • Tetsuo Iida

    (Faculty of Business Administration, Komazawa University, Tokyo 154-8525, Japan)

  • Paul Zipkin

    (The Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 27708)

Abstract

We consider a serial supply chain with one supplier and one retailer. Each obtains some demand forecast information, which may be shared or not. We investigate the members' benefits from sharing information. The forecasts follow a variant of the Martingale model of forecast evolution (MMFE). We construct a simple transfer-payment scheme to align the players' incentives with that of the overall system. The main finding is that, unless the players' incentives are aligned in this way, sharing information makes little sense. It might hurt one or the other player and the system as a whole.

Suggested Citation

  • Tetsuo Iida & Paul Zipkin, 2010. "Competition and Cooperation in a Two-Stage Supply Chain with Demand Forecasts," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 58(5), pages 1350-1363, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:58:y:2010:i:5:p:1350-1363
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.1100.0809
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/opre.1100.0809
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/opre.1100.0809?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Evan L. Porteus, 2000. "Responsibility Tokens in Supply Chain Management," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 2(2), pages 203-219, October.
    2. Fangruo Chen & Yu-Sheng Zheng, 1994. "Lower Bounds for Multi-Echelon Stochastic Inventory Systems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 40(11), pages 1426-1443, November.
    3. Hau L. Lee & Kut C. So & Christopher S. Tang, 2000. "The Value of Information Sharing in a Two-Level Supply Chain," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(5), pages 626-643, May.
    4. Fangruo Chen, 1999. "Decentralized Supply Chains Subject to Information Delays," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(8), pages 1076-1090, August.
    5. Srinivasan Raghunathan, 2001. "Information Sharing in a Supply Chain: A Note on its Value when Demand Is Nonstationary," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(4), pages 605-610, April.
    6. Warren H. Hausman, 1969. "Sequential Decision Problems: A Model to Exploit Existing Forecasters," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 16(2), pages 93-111, October.
    7. Gérard P. Cachon & Paul H. Zipkin, 1999. "Competitive and Cooperative Inventory Policies in a Two-Stage Supply Chain," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(7), pages 936-953, July.
    8. L. Beril Toktay & Lawrence M. Wein, 2001. "Analysis of a Forecasting-Production-Inventory System with Stationary Demand," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(9), pages 1268-1281, September.
    9. Guillermo Gallego & Özalp Özer, 2001. "Integrating Replenishment Decisions with Advance Demand Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(10), pages 1344-1360, October.
    10. Xiangwen Lu & Jing-Sheng Song & Amelia Regan, 2006. "Inventory Planning with Forecast Updates: Approximate Solutions and Cost Error Bounds," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 54(6), pages 1079-1097, December.
    11. Yossi Aviv, 2002. "Gaining Benefits from Joint Forecasting and Replenishment Processes: The Case of Auto-Correlated Demand," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 4(1), pages 55-74, December.
    12. Kaijie Zhu & Ulrich W. Thonemann, 2004. "Modeling the Benefits of Sharing Future Demand Information," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 52(1), pages 136-147, February.
    13. Yossi Aviv, 2001. "The Effect of Collaborative Forecasting on Supply Chain Performance," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(10), pages 1326-1343, October.
    14. Noel Watson & Yu-Sheng Zheng, 2005. "Decentralized Serial Supply Chains Subject to Order Delays and Information Distortion: Exploiting Real-Time Sales Data," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 7(2), pages 152-168, May.
    15. Yossi Aviv, 2007. "On the Benefits of Collaborative Forecasting Partnerships Between Retailers and Manufacturers," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(5), pages 777-794, May.
    16. Fangruo Chen & Jing-Sheng Song, 2001. "Optimal Policies for Multiechelon Inventory Problems with Markov-Modulated Demand," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 49(2), pages 226-234, April.
    17. Fernando Bernstein & Gregory A. DeCroix, 2006. "Inventory Policies in a Decentralized Assembly System," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 54(2), pages 324-336, April.
    18. Tetsuo Iida & Paul H. Zipkin, 2006. "Approximate Solutions of a Dynamic Forecast-Inventory Model," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 8(4), pages 407-425, October.
    19. Guillermo Gallego & Özalp Özer, 2003. "Optimal Replenishment Policies for Multiechelon Inventory Problems Under Advance Demand Information," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 5(2), pages 157-175, February.
    20. Fuqiang Zhang, 2006. "Competition, Cooperation, and Information Sharing in a Two-Echelon Assembly System," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 8(3), pages 273-291, March.
    21. Stephen C. Graves & David B. Kletter & William B. Hetzel, 1998. "A Dynamic Model for Requirements Planning with Application to Supply Chain Optimization," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(3-supplem), pages 35-49, June.
    22. Lingxiu Dong & Hau L. Lee, 2003. "Optimal Policies and Approximations for a Serial Multiechelon Inventory System with Time-Correlated Demand," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 51(6), pages 969-980, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shih-Pin Chen, 2017. "Effects of fuzzy data on decision making in a competitive supply chain," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(10), pages 1146-1160, October.
    2. Zhu, Stuart X., 2017. "Approximate solutions and cost error bounds for quantity flexibility replenishment," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 306-315.
    3. Taher Ahmadi & Zümbül Atan & Ton de Kok & Ivo Adan, 2019. "Optimal control policies for an inventory system with commitment lead time," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 66(3), pages 193-212, April.
    4. Jairo R. Montoya-Torres & Diego A. Ortiz-Vargas, 2014. "Collaboration and information sharing in dyadic supply chains: A literature review over the period 2000–2012," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, November.
    5. Wu, Xiangxiang & Zha, Yong & Yu, Yugang, 2022. "The developer’s sourcing strategy in the presence of a competing manufacturer and consumers’ two-dimensional differentiated preferences," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    6. Zha, Yong & Wu, Xiangxiang & Liu, Haonan & Yu, Yugang, 2023. "Impact of a Platform Developer's Entry on the Device Manufacturer with Different Power Structures and Revenue Models," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    7. Sechan Oh & Özalp Özer, 2013. "Mechanism Design for Capacity Planning Under Dynamic Evolutions of Asymmetric Demand Forecasts," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(4), pages 987-1007, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2009. "Information Sharing and Order Variability Control Under a Generalized Demand Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 781-797, May.
    2. Sechan Oh & Özalp Özer, 2013. "Mechanism Design for Capacity Planning Under Dynamic Evolutions of Asymmetric Demand Forecasts," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(4), pages 987-1007, April.
    3. Felix Papier, 2016. "Supply Allocation Under Sequential Advance Demand Information," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(2), pages 341-361, April.
    4. de Kok, Ton & Grob, Christopher & Laumanns, Marco & Minner, Stefan & Rambau, Jörg & Schade, Konrad, 2018. "A typology and literature review on stochastic multi-echelon inventory models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 269(3), pages 955-983.
    5. Iida, Tetsuo, 2015. "Benefits of leadtime information and of its combination with demand forecast information," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 146-156.
    6. Fuqiang Zhang, 2006. "Competition, Cooperation, and Information Sharing in a Two-Echelon Assembly System," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 8(3), pages 273-291, March.
    7. Choi, Tsan-Ming & Sethi, Suresh, 2010. "Innovative quick response programs: A review," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 1-12, September.
    8. Altug, Mehmet Sekip & Muharremoglu, Alp, 2011. "Inventory management with advance supply information," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(2), pages 302-313, February.
    9. Kaijie Zhu & Ulrich W. Thonemann, 2004. "Modeling the Benefits of Sharing Future Demand Information," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 52(1), pages 136-147, February.
    10. Tong Wang & Atalay Atasu & Mümin Kurtuluş, 2012. "A Multiordering Newsvendor Model with Dynamic Forecast Evolution," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 14(3), pages 472-484, July.
    11. Xiangwen Lu & Jing-Sheng Song & Amelia Regan, 2006. "Inventory Planning with Forecast Updates: Approximate Solutions and Cost Error Bounds," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 54(6), pages 1079-1097, December.
    12. Li, Xiuhui & Wang, Qinan, 2007. "Coordination mechanisms of supply chain systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 1-16, May.
    13. Nihat Altintas & Michael Trick, 2014. "A data mining approach to forecast behavior," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 216(1), pages 3-22, May.
    14. Lingxiu Dong & Hau L. Lee, 2003. "Optimal Policies and Approximations for a Serial Multiechelon Inventory System with Time-Correlated Demand," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 51(6), pages 969-980, December.
    15. Van-Anh Truong, 2014. "Approximation Algorithm for the Stochastic Multiperiod Inventory Problem via a Look-Ahead Optimization Approach," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 39(4), pages 1039-1056, November.
    16. Xiang, Mengyuan & Rossi, Roberto & Martin-Barragan, Belen & Tarim, S. Armagan, 2023. "A mathematical programming-based solution method for the nonstationary inventory problem under correlated demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(2), pages 515-524.
    17. Graça, Paula & Camarinha-Matos, Luís M., 2017. "Performance indicators for collaborative business ecosystems — Literature review and trends," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 237-255.
    18. Anantaram Balakrishnan & Joseph Geunes & Michael S. Pangburn, 2004. "Coordinating Supply Chains by Controlling Upstream Variability Propagation," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 6(2), pages 163-183, July.
    19. Holly Lutze & Özalp Özer, 2008. "Promised Lead-Time Contracts Under Asymmetric Information," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 56(4), pages 898-915, August.
    20. Kefeng Xu & Yang Dong & Yu Xia, 2014. "‘Too Little’ or ‘Too Late’: The Timing of Supply Chain Demand Collaboration," Working Papers 0203mss, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:58:y:2010:i:5:p:1350-1363. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.